MaxLinear Inc
🔔 Watch stock
Assessment
Our Rating
A journalistic assessment by our editorial team at the time of the deep dive — it rates the company, not the entry point. Not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell.
We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.
Why this colour
After the materiality gate, a genuine existential find stands in the room at MaxLinear: the Silicon Motion arbitration (termination fee of roughly $160 million plus damages "in excess"), for which no reserve is recorded as of March 31, 2026 and whose possible amount, per MaxLinear itself, could exceed its own cash ("may not be sufficient"). Under our methodology, a single existential find may determine the rating on its own. Here it meets a still unproven turnaround (GAAP deeply red, cash shrinking) and a very high valuation after a fivefold rise. The documented strengths — the AI-optics recovery and the intact trend strength — are real, but they provide no margin of safety while the proceeding runs without a reserve. Our findings therefore argue for elevated caution. The decision is yours.
What the thesis turns on
Assessment: Opportunities & Risks
MaxLinear (MXL) has a real story — optical chips for AI data centers drive an accelerating revenue recovery, and the stock has risen more than fivefold in twelve months (24 scanner hits). But the price drowns out three documented burdens: still deeply red numbers under U.S. GAAP with shrinking cash, pronounced cyclicality (revenue down roughly 68 percent since 2022) — and above all a Silicon Motion arbitration that demands the termination fee plus unquantified damages and for which no reserve sits on the balance sheet. Our findings argue for elevated caution as long as this potential existential find stays open. Not investment advice.
Business & AI tailwind
A relevant fabless chip designer across four end markets, with a real, accelerating AI tailwind: the optical data-center business for AI platforms carries the recovery (revenue up 29.7 percent in 2025, Q1 2026 up 43 percent year over year; infrastructure segment roughly 46 percent of Q1 2026 revenue). High gross margin (roughly 57 percent), Q2 2026 outlook of $160 to $170 million. That is the documented strength.
Silicon Motion dispute
The potential existential find: before the arbitration court in Singapore, Silicon Motion demands the termination fee (roughly $160 million) plus damages "in excess of the termination fee" from the $3.8 billion deal that burst in 2023. As of March 31, 2026 no reserve stands against it; MaxLinear itself calls its cash (just over $61 million) "may not be sufficient" for a damages event. An unfavorable award could exceed cash and a large part of equity.
Profitability & cash
Still deeply red under U.S. GAAP: a net loss of $136.7 million (2025), minus $45.1 million in Q1 2026; research eats roughly 45 percent of revenue. Positive again on a non-GAAP basis (Q1 2026: plus $19.4 million), but cash shrank from $72.8 million to $61.1 million within one quarter — a thin cushion that the unquantified proceeding turns into the sore spot.
Cyclicality & concentration
The business is pronouncedly cyclical: revenue collapsed roughly 68 percent from 2022 through 2024. One strong quarter in an upswing is no proof against the next downturn. Add noticeable customer concentration (two customers roughly 28 percent, top ten roughly 65 percent of revenue) — a cluster risk; in the worst case a dent, not an existential question.
Valuation & momentum
Very strong momentum (24 scanner hits, the price up roughly 540 percent in twelve months) but a very high valuation: enterprise value roughly 15 times revenue, price-to-sales around 17, expected price-to-earnings around 65 (no current P/E for lack of GAAP profit). The mean analyst price target sits below the accumulated price — momentum has outrun the fundamental assessment.
Worth Noting
Materiality gate (find by find, 07/10/2026): (1) Silicon Motion arbitration (SIAC Singapore) — termination fee of roughly $160 million plus damages "in excess of the termination fee" from the $3.8 billion deal that burst in 2023. Checked for existential character: no reserve as of 03/31/2026 ("no material loss contingencies have been accrued … a reasonable estimate … cannot be made"), cash just over $61 million, equity roughly $452 million; MaxLinear itself calls its means "may not be sufficient" → structural-to-existential find, may determine the rating on its own. (2) GAAP loss/cash burn — net loss $136.7 million (2025), Q1 2026 −$45.1 million, cash $72.8 → $61.1 million; non-GAAP positive, credit line unused → structural find that sharpens the thinness of the cash cushion and thus the existential find. (3) Cyclicality — revenue 2022–2024 −68 percent, profitable in the upswing → price find. (4) Valuation — EV/revenue ~15, P/S ~17, expected P/E ~65, price +540 percent, analyst target below → price find. (5) Customer concentration: two customers 28 percent, top ten 65 percent → cluster-risk dent. Result: the existential find (1) carries the color on its own — unquantified, without a reserve, against a thin cash cushion → "Substance risk"; findings (2) and (5) point the same way, and the turnaround is not yet proven. Not merely "Open questions", because a documented existential find is present. The red light is not a forecast of collapse either: there is no manipulation, no going-concern warning, and the operating recovery is documented. The price finds (3) and (4) stay on the record but do not set the color; the traffic light says nothing about the entry price — that question belongs to the scanners.
Valuation metrics are orders of magnitude as of mid-2026 (EV/revenue ~15, P/S ~17, expected P/E ~65). A current P/E does not exist for lack of GAAP profit. SEC-dated anchor: non-affiliate market value as of June 30, 2025 = $1.1 billion (10-K cover page); mid-2026 market value roughly $8.5 billion (the stock up more than fivefold). Analyses are evergreen; daily prices are not a buy argument.
Revenue, result, cash and end-market series come from the annual report (10-K) 2025 (Items 1/1A/3/7, notes), the quarterly report (10-Q) Q1 2026 and the quarterly 8-K (Exhibit 99.1, GAAP/non-GAAP, Q2 guidance) and were cross-checked against the fundamental data. End markets 2025: broadband 44% (+75%), infrastructure 32% (+30%), connectivity 17% (+40%), industrial & multi-market 8% (−50%); Q1 2026 infrastructure already roughly 46%.
Special-situations screening (EDGAR full index, CIK 1288469): the dominant special situation is the Silicon Motion deal that burst in 2023 (S-4/425/SC TO-T/DEFM from 2022/2023) and the ongoing SIAC arbitration plus shareholder suits (dismissed "with prejudice" at the district level, appeal pending before the Ninth Circuit). Institutional holders mostly passive (Schedule 13G), no activist SC 13D with strategic-review character, no takeover 8-K.
AI dossier: category "sells AI" (rated 07/10/2026). Reasoning: the annual report (10-K) 2025 describes own products using "patented machine learning techniques" inside "next-generation communication and artificial intelligence systems"; the quarterly 8-K attributes the revenue jump directly to optical data-center products "across scale-up and scale-out AI platforms", and the optical data-center business is the fastest-growing revenue block (roughly 46 percent of Q1 2026). AI infrastructure is thus a documented, load-bearing revenue source — "sells" under the precedence rule (consistent with comparable optics-for-AI suppliers).
Stock Watch
This analysis is as of August 26, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at MXL since then.
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Price history
Chart
Interactive price chart (TradingView).
52-week range: 13.10 $ to 128.00 $ · Last price: 75.00 $ (As of: September 17, 2026)
Key figures
Key figures at a glance
Every figure we hold for this stock, grouped by topic. The question mark next to a label explains what the number means.
Basics
Performance
Technical Indicators
Calculated from the price history · as of 09/18/2026
Valuation
Profitability
Balance Sheet & Safety
Growth
Dividend
This stock currently pays no dividend.
Quality & Screener
Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.
Comparison
Industry comparison
The stock alongside the largest companies in the same group. The median row is the middle value of the companies shown above — not of the whole industry.
Industry: Semiconductors
| Company | Market cap ($B) | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Gross Margin % | EBIT Margin % | Sales Growth (Year) % | Perf. 1Y % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaxLinear Inc MXL | 6.7 | – | 12.3 | 57.5 | -12.2 | 29.7 | 364.1 |
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | 5,540.3 | 30.4 | 22.4 | 74.7 | 65.6 | 65.5 | 29.1 |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | 1,652.3 | 55.2 | 33.7 | 75.5 | 49.0 | 23.9 | 1.1 |
| Micron Technology Inc MU | 1,269.8 | 20.7 | 15.8 | 72.6 | 80.4 | 48.9 | 512.0 |
| Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD | 943.2 | 177.7 | 77.8 | 55.7 | 14.4 | 34.3 | 242.5 |
| Intel Corporation INTC | 546.8 | – | 145.4 | 38.9 | 6.9 | -0.5 | 337.0 |
| Arm Holdings plc ARM | 282.9 | 267.6 | 221.2 | 97.5 | 7.6 | 22.8 | 58.6 |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | 234.9 | 39.7 | 26.1 | 58.3 | 37.8 | 13.1 | 46.9 |
| Marvell Technology Group Ltd MRVL | 232.5 | 79.7 | 45.0 | 52.2 | 14.5 | 42.1 | 239.9 |
| Median of companies shown | 546.8 | 55.2 | 33.7 | 58.3 | 14.5 | 29.7 | 239.9 |
Based on the most recently reported figures. Only stocks from the same trading venue are lined up, so the market caps are counted in one currency. Compare in a chart →
Fiscal years
Annual Figures
Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.
Revenue, operating income and net income per fiscal year $M
Revenue Operating income Net income
| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($M) | EBIT ($M) | Net Income ($M) | EPS ($) | Operating Cash Flow ($M) | Equity ($M) | Total Assets ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 388 | 74 | 61 | 0.91 | 117 | 352 | 423 |
| 2017 | 420 | 0 | -9 | -0.14 | 75 | 387 | 825 |
| 2018 | 385 | -13 | -26 | -0.38 | 103 | 400 | 739 |
| 2019 | 317 | -19 | -20 | -0.28 | 78 | 415 | 721 |
| 2020 | 479 | -83 | -99 | -1.35 | 74 | 391 | 1,033 |
| 2021 | 892 | 67 | 42 | 0.53 | 168 | 489 | 1,052 |
| 2022 | 1,120 | 185 | 125 | 1.55 | 389 | 676 | 1,186 |
| 2023 | 693 | -38 | -73 | -0.91 | 25 | 686 | 1,084 |
| 2024 | 361 | -169 | -245 | -2.93 | -45 | 516 | 867 |
| 2025 | 468 | -127 | -137 | -1.58 | 20 | 452 | 796 |
Quarters
Quarterly Figures
Each bar is one quarter, the last one is the most recent. Use the switch to step through the individual figures.
Revenue & Profit
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Margins
Per Share
Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.
None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.
· Total · per year
These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.
The figures could not be loaded right now.
Source: fundamental data
| Quarter | EPS (Earnings Per Share) | EPS YoY (%) | Sales ($M) | Sales YoY (%) | Net Margin (%) | OCF ($M) | FCF ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024: Q4 | -0.68 | – | 92 | -26.50 | -62.80 | -28 | -30 |
| 2025: Q1 | -0.58 | – | 96 | 0.70 | -51.80 | -11 | -13 |
| 2025: Q2 | -0.31 | – | 109 | 18.30 | -24.40 | 11 | 9 |
| 2025: Q3 | -0.52 | – | 127 | 55.90 | -36.00 | 10 | 4 |
| 2025: Q4 | -0.17 | – | 136 | 48.00 | -10.90 | 10 | 7 |
| 2026: Q1 | -0.52 | – | 137 | 43.00 | -32.90 | -9 | -10 |
| 2026: Q2 | 0.02 | 106.50 | 169 | 55.10 | 1.10 | 5 | 3 |
What Do These Terms Mean?
- EPS (Earnings Per Share):
- Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
- YoY (Year over Year):
- Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
- Sales:
- All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
- Net Margin:
- What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
- OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
- The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow):
- Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.
Screening
Appears in These Scanners
This stock currently matches 29 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.
Growth
Quality & Balance Sheet
Breakout & Setup
Momentum & Trend
- 21-EMA Trend
- Above the 50- & 200-SMA
- CANSLIM Type RS
- Gary Antonacci: Dual Momentum (Stock Adaptation)
- High ADR (≥5%)
- Kathy Donnelly: Liquid Movers Up
- Mark Minervini: Trend Criteria — 1 Month
- Mike Webster: Swing Trading List
- Oliver Kell: Doublers
- Oliver Kell: Strength on Down Day
- Qullamaggie: Top Gainers 3M
- Qullamaggie: Top Gainers 6M
- RS Leader (≥90)
- Richard Moglen: 1 Week Top Performers
- Richard Moglen: Top Performers 3/6 Month
- Stage 2 Leader
- Stan Weinstein: Checklist
- Stan Weinstein: Stage 2
- Strength on Stress Days
Research
Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners
Outlook
Analysts & Price Target
Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.
Distribution of Recommendations
Estimates by Fiscal Year
| Fiscal Year | EPS Estimate ($) | EPS Range ($) | Revenue Estimate ($M) | Expected Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1.75 | 1.72 – 1.78 | 738 | 464.5% | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2.61 | 1.95 – 2.90 | 959 | 49.3% | 11 |
Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.
Valuation
What is priced in?
Instead of guessing what the stock is worth, we turn the question around: what free cash flow growth has to happen for today’s market value to add up? The assumptions behind it can be moved.
With these assumptions (discount rate 10.0%, terminal growth 2.5%), no growth rate between -20.0% and 60.0% per year explains today’s market value — the reverse calculation yields no meaningful figure here.
| Free cash flow (last twelve months) | $3.3M |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $6.72B |
| Free cash flow in year ten | – |
| Terminal value as a share of market value | – |
For comparison: over the past five years free cash flow shrank by 35.1% per year.
It shows which assumption is built into today’s price, not whether that assumption will hold. Every assumption can be changed with the sliders; the figures move with them.
A simplified model calculation — not a forecast and not a recommendation.
AI classification
AI Rating
MaxLinear ist ein fabless Halbleiter-Designer für Kommunikations-SoCs (Breitband, Konnektivität, Infrastruktur/Optik, Industrie). Der Geschäftsbericht (10-K) 2025 beschreibt eigene Produkte, die ausdrücklich in Systemen der Künstlichen Intelligenz eingesetzt werden und dafür patentierte Verfahren des maschinellen Lernens nutzen (Item 1 Business). Der mit Abstand am schnellsten wachsende Umsatzblock ist das optische Rechenzentrumsgeschäft (Segment Infrastructure, Q1 2026 rund 46 Prozent des Umsatzes): MaxLinear verkauft die optischen Transceiver-/PHY-Chips, die die Server in KI-Rechenzentren verbinden. Im Quartals-8-K vom 23.04.2026 fuehrt das Unternehmen den aktuellen Umsatzsprung direkt auf KI zurueck: der Anstieg sei vor allem durch die Produktionshochlaeufe der optischen Rechenzentrums-Produkte bei mehreren Hyperscale-Kunden ueber Scale-up- und Scale-out-KI-Plattformen getrieben. Damit ist KI-getriebene Infrastruktur-Nachfrage eine dokumentierte, aktuell tragende Umsatzquelle — nach dem Kriterienkatalog (Vorrang-Regel: verkauft vor bedroht/nutzt/neutral) faellt MaxLinear damit in die Kategorie verkauft, konsistent mit vergleichbaren Optik-fuer-KI-Zulieferern (z. B. AAOI). Die Erwaehnungen des EU-AI-Acts im Risikoteil sind Compliance-Boilerplate und kein eigenstaendiges Bedroht-Signal.
View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„We have further expanded our product offerings to include Wi-Fi, ethernet and broadband gateway processor SoCs and intellectual property that utilizes patented machine learning techniques to improve signal integrity and power efficiency in SoCs, ASICs, and field-programmable gate arrays, or FPGAs, used in next-generation communication and artificial intelligence systems."
Wir haben unser Produktangebot um Wi-Fi-, Ethernet- und Breitband-Gateway-Prozessor-SoCs sowie geistiges Eigentum erweitert, das patentierte Verfahren des maschinellen Lernens nutzt, um Signalintegritaet und Energieeffizienz in SoCs, ASICs und FPGAs zu verbessern, die in Kommunikations- und Systemen der Kuenstlichen Intelligenz der naechsten Generation eingesetzt werden.
10-K · 2026-01-29 · View SEC filing
„The explosive emergence of artificial intelligence, or AI, platforms and services such as OpenAI, Copilot, Anthropic Claude, and Google Gemini, which broadly amplify human ability to harness high-performance computing within the data center."
Das explosionsartige Aufkommen von Plattformen und Diensten der Kuenstlichen Intelligenz (KI) wie OpenAI, Copilot, Anthropic Claude und Google Gemini, die die Faehigkeit des Menschen, Hochleistungsrechnen im Rechenzentrum zu nutzen, breit verstaerken.
10-K · 2026-01-29 · View SEC filing
„This was driven primarily by strong execution and production ramps of our optical data center products at multiple hyperscale customers across scale-up and scale-out AI platforms."
Dies wurde vor allem durch die starke Umsetzung und die Produktionshochlaeufe unserer optischen Rechenzentrums-Produkte bei mehreren Hyperscale-Kunden ueber Scale-up- und Scale-out-KI-Plattformen hinweg getrieben.
8-K · 2026-04-23 · View SEC filing
Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-04-23 · 10-Q 2025-10-23 · 10-Q 2025-07-23 · 10-Q 2025-04-23 · 10-K 2026-01-29 · 10-K 2025-01-29 · 8-K 2026-04-23
Rated on July 10, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built
Growth
Growth Score
Ten checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.
- Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years -25.3%
- More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year 20.5%
- Share count grows by less than 3% a year 2.3%
- Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") 31.2%
- Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 56.8%
- Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 40.0%
- Net debt below twice EBITDA failed
- Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 454 m
- Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago -20.8%
- Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 5.8%
A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail
Quality check
AAQS
3/10The AAQS (AlleAktien Quality Score) checks 10 quality criteria on growth, profitability, and balance-sheet strength — per the methodology developed and published by AlleAktien, calculated by us from our own fundamental data. A stock counts as a quality stock from 9 out of 10 points. Where a company has a shorter listing history, we calculate over the fiscal years available (at least five).
- Sales growth 10Y > 5% 2.1%
- Exp. sales growth 3Y > 5% 43.2%
- EBIT growth 10Y > 5% –
- Exp. EBIT growth 3Y > 5% 43.2%
- Net debt < 4x EBIT –
- EBIT positive, 10Y straight 3
- Max. EBIT decline < 50% 100.0%
- Return on equity > 15% -161.9%
- ROCE > 15% -20.8%
- Expected return > 10% 43.3%
View stocks with the full AAQS score · Read the methodology at AlleAktien
Source: fundamental data
Insiders
Insider Transactions
Reportable transactions by officers and major shareholders from SEC Form 4 filings. "Other" includes things like stock grants and option exercises without a buy/sell character.
| Date | Person | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kwong Connie H. | Corporate Controller & PAO | Other | 1,110 | 59.91 | 66,500 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kwong Connie H. | Corporate Controller & PAO | Other | 1,110 | – | – |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 3,903 | 88.16 | 344,097 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 13,919 | 87.12 | 1,212,563 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 71,163 | 86.47 | 6,153,280 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 68,976 | 85.43 | 5,892,509 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 17,766 | 84.63 | 1,503,545 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 2,285 | 88.14 | 201,389 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 13,289 | 87.11 | 1,157,561 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seendripu Kishore | Chairman, President and CEO | Sell | 72,298 | 86.49 | 6,252,758 |
The company
About the Company
MaxLinear, Inc. bietet Kommunikations-Systems-on-Chip-Lösungen in den USA, Asien, Europa und international an.
- Employees
- 1,115
- Headquarters
- Carlsbad, CA
- Address
- 5966 La Place Court, 92008 Carlsbad, United States
- Phone
- 760 692 0711
- Website
- maxlinear.com
- IPO Date
- 03/24/2010
- ISIN
- US57776J1007
Management
| Name | Title | Birth Year |
|---|---|---|
| Kishore Seendripu Ph.D. | Co-Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | 1969 |
| Steven G. Litchfield | CFO & Chief Corporate Strategy Officer | 1969 |
| Connie H. Kwong | Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer | 1979 |
| Curtis Ling Ph.D. | Co-Founder & Chief Technical Officer | 1965 |
| Mohan Kambhammettu | Senior Vice President of Global Operations | – |
| Michael Bollesen | Senior Vice President of Sales | 1969 |
| Madhukar Reddy Ph.D. | Senior Vice President of Worldwide Engineering | 1969 |
| Amit Bavisi | Senior VP and GM of Analog & Mixed Signal Business | – |
| Puneet Sethi | Senior Vice President of Network Infrastructure & Carrier Business | – |
| Vikas Choudhary | Senior Vice President of Connectivity & Storage Business | 1972 |
Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.
Filings
Company Filings (8-K)
An 8-K is the filing a US company must use to disclose material events immediately — takeovers, changes at the top, major contracts or payment troubles, for instance. The links open the original document at the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
- 07/23/2026 MAXLINEAR, INC (MXL): Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements and Exhibits SEC ↗
Data as of: September 17, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)
Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.