HF Sinclair Corp (DINO)
🔔 Watch stock
symbol.quality_heading
The business works in principle, but one material question is open. As long as it stays open, our findings do not carry a quality verdict.
Whoever buys today is betting that we stand closer to the bottom than the top of the refining cycle — and gets a broadly diversified company with a stable Midstream anchor, a solid balance sheet and a $2.00 dividend, but a loss-making renewables segment and a margin it does not control. Whoever waits may miss the next margin wave but can check the quarterly report (10-Q) for whether refining margins hold and whether buybacks pick up again — both would be evidence the recovery has substance. The decision is yours.
symbol.quality_note
HF Sinclair (NYSE: DINO), the U.S. refiner from the HollyFrontier-Sinclair merger, shows up in our "Joshua" growth scanner — and, at the same time, in a dozen value and trend filters (data as of July 17, 2026). We read the annual reports (10-K) for fiscal years 2024 and 2025: net income that crashed from $2.9 billion (2022) to $177 million (2024) and climbed back to $579 million (2025), a renewables segment with a negative gross margin in every year — and a stock whose price-to-earnings ratio looks lowest exactly when the danger is highest. Not investment advice — just the question of which single point on a sine wave you are mistaking for a trend line.
Read the analysis
Stock Watch
This analysis is as of July 17, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at DINO since then.
Later $1 a month per stock — signing up is free, and you'll be the first to know when it launches.
Appears in These Scanners
This stock currently matches 13 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.
Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners
Trading Day
Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.
52-Week Range
Current price 91.50 $ — 98% of the range above the low.
Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.
Basics
Performance
Technical Indicators
Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026
Valuation
Profitability
Balance Sheet & Safety
Growth
Dividend
Quality & Screener
AI Rating
NeutralHF Sinclair ist ein Erdölraffineriekonzern (Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, Midstream). In den ausgewerteten SEC-Berichten findet sich kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug: keine KI-Produkte oder -Dienste als Umsatzquelle, kein dokumentierter operativer KI-Einsatz und keine konkrete KI-Bedrohung des Geschäftsmodells. Die einzige KI-Erwähnung im 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 ist eine Boilerplate-Cybersecurity-Risikofloskel („Emerging artificial intelligence … technologies may improve or expand the capabilities of malicious third parties …“) ohne konkreten Bezug zum eigenen Geschäftsmodell — nach Kriterienkatalog kein „bedroht“-Beleg. Dokumentierter Negativ-Befund → neutral.
View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„Emerging artificial intelligence (“AI”) technologies may improve or expand the capabilities of malicious third parties in a way we cannot predict at this time…"
Aufkommende Technologien der künstlichen Intelligenz („KI“) könnten die Fähigkeiten böswilliger Dritter auf eine Weise verbessern oder erweitern, die wir derzeit nicht vorhersehen können …
Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-05-01 · 10-Q 2025-10-30 · 10-Q 2025-07-31 · 10-Q 2025-05-01 · 10-K 2026-02-27 · 10-K 2025-02-20
Rated on July 17, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built
Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.
Analysts & Price Target
The price target sits 2.8% below the current price.
- Consensus
- Sell
- Analyst Ratings
- 16
Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.
Estimates by Fiscal Year
| Fiscal Year | EPS Estimate ($) | EPS Range ($) | Revenue Estimate ($M) | Expected Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 13.06 | 8.16 – 16.26 | 33,349 | 158.1% | 15 |
| 12/31/2027 | 8.97 | 6.56 – 11.90 | 30,366 | -31.4% | 15 |
Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.
Revenue & Profit
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Margins
Per Share
Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.
None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.
· Total · per year
These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.
The figures could not be loaded right now.
Source: fundamental data
Quarterly Figures
| Quarter | EPS (Earnings Per Share) | EPS YoY (%) | Sales ($M) | Sales YoY (%) | Net Margin (%) | OCF ($M) | FCF ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024: Q4 | -1.11 | – | 6,500 | -15.10 | -3.30 | -140 | -314 |
| 2025: Q1 | -0.02 | -101.30 | 6,370 | -9.40 | -0.10 | -89 | -175 |
| 2025: Q2 | 1.10 | 39.40 | 6,784 | -13.50 | 3.10 | 587 | 476 |
| 2025: Q3 | 2.16 | – | 7,251 | 0.60 | 5.60 | 809 | 930 |
| 2025: Q4 | -0.15 | – | 6,464 | -0.60 | -0.40 | 8 | -587 |
| 2026: Q1 | 3.59 | – | 7,123 | 11.80 | 9.10 | 457 | 355 |
| 2026: Q2 | 4.93 | 348.20 | 10,390 | 53.20 | 8.60 | 1,510 | 1,392 |
- EPS (Earnings Per Share):
- Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
- YoY (Year over Year):
- Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
- Sales:
- All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
- Net Margin:
- What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
- OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
- The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow):
- Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.
Annual Figures
| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($M) | EBIT ($M) | Net Income ($M) | EPS ($) | Operating Cash Flow ($M) | Equity ($M) | Total Assets ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,536 | -103 | -260 | -1.48 | 602 | 5,302 | 9,436 |
| 2017 | 14,251 | 904 | 805 | 4.55 | 951 | 5,897 | 10,692 |
| 2018 | 17,715 | 1,624 | 1,098 | 6.22 | 1,554 | 6,459 | 10,995 |
| 2019 | 17,487 | 1,277 | 772 | 4.61 | 1,549 | 5,978 | 12,165 |
| 2020 | 11,184 | -734 | -601 | -3.71 | 458 | 5,168 | 11,507 |
| 2021 | 18,389 | 749 | 558 | 3.43 | 407 | 5,688 | 12,917 |
| 2022 | 38,205 | 4,054 | 2,923 | 14.43 | 3,777 | 9,244 | 18,352 |
| 2023 | 31,964 | 2,203 | 1,590 | 8.37 | 2,297 | 10,169 | 17,716 |
| 2024 | 28,580 | 261 | 177 | 0.92 | 1,110 | 9,278 | 16,643 |
| 2025 | 26,869 | 936 | 579 | 3.11 | 1,315 | 9,184 | 16,729 |
Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.
Assessment: Opportunities & Risks
A cash machine in good years: $2.9 billion of net income in 2022, $1.3 billion of operating cash flow even in the mediocre year 2025, Q1 2026 already above the entire prior year at $3.56 per share (10-K FY 2025, 10-Q as of 03/31/2026).
The profit is a margin that belongs to no one: EPS from $14.28 through $0.91 to $3.08 (2022–2025), Refining operating income in a $167 million loss in 2024. A low P/E is often a warning sign here, not evidence of a bargain (10-K FY 2025, Item 1A).
The green business of the future burns cash: a negative gross margin in fiscal years 2023, 2024 and 2025 (down to minus $129 million), a $133 million operating loss in 2025 — and the supporting funding programs are being curtailed by the OBBBA law, per the 10-K.
Quiet anchors against the refining cycle: Midstream (pipelines) earned a steady $363 million of operating income in 2025, plus profitable lubricants and the growing Sinclair brand; a solid balance sheet with $978 million in cash, roughly $3.0 billion of liquidity and $9.2 billion of equity (12/31/2025).
Optically cheap on revenue (P/S ~0.4) and book value (P/B ~1.3), dividend stable at $2.00 per share since 2024 — but buybacks shrank with the profit from $1.37 billion (2022) to $354 million (2025); the "cheap plus buyback" story carries least in the low-margin year (data as of July 17, 2026).
HF Sinclair is a soundly run, broadly diversified U.S. refiner with a quiet pipeline anchor (Midstream $363 million of operating income in 2025) and an honest balance sheet — but its profit is a refining margin that belongs to no one and swung from $14.28 through $0.91 to $3.08 per share (2022–2025). The green Renewables segment posts a negative gross margin every year, and a price-to-earnings ratio around 10 is ambiguous on a cyclical: a bargain at the bottom, a trap at the top. Whoever invests here buys not plannable earning power but a point on a sine wave. Not investment advice.
- DINO reached our research list via the "Joshua" growth scanner (as of July 17, 2026); the confluence with eleven more scanners — including several value filters (Tobias Carlisle, O'Shaughnessy) and trend filters (Stan Weinstein stage 2) — is typical for a cyclical at the turn and is not double proof, but the same one twice.
- Scanner metrics (P/E, P/S, P/B) are computed from trailing or expected figures; on a cyclical the reported P/E depends massively on which year sits in the denominator — which is why the order of magnitude matters more than the decimal place.
- Price and valuation figures are dated to July 17, 2026 (market value roughly $11 billion); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument. HF Sinclair's fiscal year ends December 31; identity and history (merger 03/14/2022, no former names) verified via EDGAR submissions.
About the Company
HF Sinclair Corporation ist ein unabhängiges Energieunternehmen in den USA. Es ist in fünf Segmenten tätig: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties und Midstream.
| Employees | 5,165 |
|---|---|
| Headquarters | Dallas, TX |
| Address | 2323 Victory Avenue, 75219 Dallas, United States |
| Phone | 214 871 3555 |
| Website | hfsinclair.com |
| IPO Date | 17. Mar 1992 |
| ISIN | US4039491000 |
| Stock Split | 2:1 on 09/01/2011 |
Management
| Name | Title | Birth Year |
|---|---|---|
| Franklin Myers J.D. | CEO & Chairman of the Board | 1953 |
| Steven C. Ledbetter | President & COO | 1976 |
| Valerie Pompa | President of Growth, Technology & Transformation | 1969 |
Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.
Insider Transactions
| Date | Person | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17. Jul 2026 | Myers Franklin | CEO | Other | 1,210 | 0.00 | – |
Reportable transactions by officers and major shareholders from SEC Form 4 filings. "Other" includes things like stock grants and option exercises without a buy/sell character.
View all insider transactions →Chart
Interactive price chart (TradingView).
Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)
Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.