Risk & Weakness
Parabolic Death Cross
27 Findings · last calculated August 8, 2026 Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q) · Market filter active: the list shows 0 hits from Germany
Methodology & criteria
Stocks that have at least doubled within a few weeks — and whose 10-day line has now fallen below the 20-day line. For a holder this is the moment the parabola breaks: we backtested 3,905 such cases from 2010 onward, and a good half of the decline that followed came only AFTER this cross. Explicitly NOT a short recipe: selling short on the cross day (15% target, 15% stop, ten-day hold) averaged out to zero — the signal warns more reliably than it trades. The "Clean Parabola" badge marks the 842 cases that also pass all five path checks (no single-jump run-up, a fresh cross, no creeping trend, an undamaged advance, and a price still close to the line).
No global trading filters — this strategy checks the entire stock universe purely against its own criteria (mega caps over $50B included).
🔔 Watch scanner
Hit List
Tip: clicking a column header sorts the table by that column; a second click flips the direction.
| Symbol | Signal Age (Days) | Prior Run-Up | Earnings | Avg/Y 3Y | Stress RS | Stage | Funda Rating | Piotroski | MktCap | Industry | AI Rating | Deep Dive | Deep-Dive Report | Sector | Price | YTD | 6 Mo. | 1 Year | Off High | Price Target | RS | EPS Rating | ADR 10D | ADR 30D | Beta | P/E | P/E (f) | P/S | P/B | P/FCF | PEG | EV/EBITDA | EBIT Margin | Gross Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROA | Debt/Eq | Equity Ratio | Sales +/Y | Growth Score | Div. Yield | Payout Ratio | Altman Z | Inst. % | Short % | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No stocks currently pass this scanner. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Frequently Asked Questions
Stocks that have at least doubled within a few weeks — and whose 10-day line has now fallen below the 20-day line. For a holder this is the moment the parabola breaks: we backtested 3,905 such cases from 2010 onward, and a good half of the decline that followed came only AFTER this cross.
All scanners are recalculated daily across the entire stock universe — most recently on 8. August 2026. The data basis is fundamental data and SEC filings (10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports).
Currently, 27 stocks pass this scanner's criteria (as of 8. August 2026).
No global trading filters — this strategy checks the entire stock universe purely against its own criteria (mega caps over $50B included).
This scanner deliberately hunts for red flags — a hit is a finding, not a recommendation: like a smoke detector that beeps so you look in time. A hit is also not a bankruptcy verdict; most companies save themselves (say, through a capital raise, which dilutes existing shareholders). Portfolio owners use the list as an early-warning system, bargain hunters as an anti-shopping list, experienced traders as a watch list — it is never a buy or short recommendation.
The scanner looks for stocks that have run up parabolically and whose short moving average has now crossed below the long one. In detail: the adjusted close at least doubled from its low to its high, the low sits no more than 40 trading days before that high, and the high is also the highest close of the last 120 trading days. Within the following 30 trading days the 10-day line drops below the 20-day line — that day is the signal, and it comes from the last 20 trading days. The stock also has to be tradable: at least $1 unadjusted price at the low and at least $1 million in median daily turnover between the low and the high. We backtested this rule from 2010 onward on a survivorship-bias-free price database and found 3,905 such cases. The key result: a good half of the entire decline came only AFTER the cross — so as a warning for someone holding the stock, the signal is useful. As a trading recipe it explicitly is not: selling short on the cross day with a 15% profit target, a 15% stop and a hold of at most ten days averaged out to zero, because the snapbacks upward are just as violent. That is why the scanner sits under Risk rather than among the trade ideas. The "Clean Parabola" badge separates the path on top of that: it is awarded only when all five checks pass — no run-up that came half from a single one-day jump, a cross within 15 trading days of the high, no months-long creeping trend (10-day line on top for at most 45 days), no intermediate drop back below the 20-day line, and still at least 85% of that line on the cross day. Of the 3,905 cases, 842 were left. A hit is a find, not an order to sell. Source: price data.
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Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.