TickerGuard
Buy Day today: Good (62) Broad market participation · no major macro event

Risk & Weakness

Parabolic Death Cross

Read the study: Parabolic Death Cross Study: What the MA10/MA20 Cross Is Actually Worth After a Parabolic Run

27 Findings · last calculated August 8, 2026 Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q) · Market filter active: the list shows 0 hits from Germany

Methodology & criteria

Stocks that have at least doubled within a few weeks — and whose 10-day line has now fallen below the 20-day line. For a holder this is the moment the parabola breaks: we backtested 3,905 such cases from 2010 onward, and a good half of the decline that followed came only AFTER this cross. Explicitly NOT a short recipe: selling short on the cross day (15% target, 15% stop, ten-day hold) averaged out to zero — the signal warns more reliably than it trades. The "Clean Parabola" badge marks the 842 cases that also pass all five path checks (no single-jump run-up, a fresh cross, no creeping trend, an undamaged advance, and a price still close to the line).

No global trading filters — this strategy checks the entire stock universe purely against its own criteria (mega caps over $50B included).

🔔 Watch scanner

Terms in This Scanner Explained

(16)
ADR (Average Daily Range)
The average daily swing of a stock in percent - measured over 10 or 30 trading days (columns "ADR 10D/30D"). An ADR of 5% means: on a normal day the gap between the intraday low and high runs about 5%. Traders look for movement - that is why stocks with an ADR under 1% are filtered out globally. Scanners that run without the global filters still include them; that is noted below their hit list. Not to be confused with ADR meaning "American Depositary Receipt" (a US certificate for foreign shares) - here ADR always means the daily swing.
AI Classification
Our company-by-company assessment of the AI boom based on SEC filings (the last four quarterly 10-Q reports and two annual 10-K reports): "Sells AI" (AI is a revenue source), "Threatened" (AI is a concrete business risk), "Uses AI" (operational use), or "Neutral" (no material AI exposure). Every classification requires at least two direct quote citations - otherwise the column shows "-". Not a quality judgment or a buy recommendation; the full file is on the stock page, methodology at /stocks/ai-rating-methodology.
Analysis (Full Company Analysis)
If the Analysis column shows "Read," there is an in-depth TickerGuard company analysis for this stock: business model, scanner findings, quarterly results, evidence from SEC filings, plus opportunities and risks. One click opens it directly.
Avg/Yr 3Y (Average Annual Return)
The stock's average annual return over the past 3 years. Shows at a glance whether a stock delivers over the long run or just had a short hot streak.
Earnings Date
The date of the next quarterly earnings report. Price gaps in either direction are common around this date - that is why we color it red when it is 7 days away or less, and yellow when it is 14 days away or less: elevated risk for fresh positions.
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Quarterly earnings divided by the number of shares outstanding. The most important growth metric: if EPS rises strongly over several quarters, the company is earning more money per share.
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures - the money left over for everything else (debt paydown, acquisitions, or buybacks). Consistently positive free cash flow is one of the most honest signs of a healthy business model.
Funda Rating (Fundamental Rating A+ to F)
Our proprietary fundamental rating from 0 to 100 points with a school-grade rank from A+ to F. 50 points is the average across the universe, 100 the best possible score. Every stock is scored against all others by percentile: growth in earnings and revenue, earnings surprises, analyst estimates, and quality criteria such as margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet strength. Grades: A+ from 95, A from 75, B from 55, C from 45, D from 25, E from 5, F below — A/A+ are the fundamentally strongest stocks in the universe.
Long / Short
Long = betting on rising prices (buying the stock). Short = betting on falling prices (selling borrowed shares to buy them back cheaper later). Our short scanners are warning or watch lists - not buy candidates.
Market Capitalization (Mkt Cap)
The market value of the company: share price x total shares outstanding, shown here in billions of dollars. Micro caps (< $0.3B) are small and volatile, mega caps (> $200B) are heavyweights. Our scanner universe is deliberately capped at $50B - we look for stocks with room to run. The cap does not apply to scanners that run without the global filters; that is noted below their hit list.
Net Margin
How much of revenue is left as profit? Net income divided by revenue, in percent. A 20% margin means: out of every dollar of revenue, 20 cents is left as profit. Rising margins are a strong quality signal.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
The cash that actually flows into the company from day-to-day operations - without accounting effects such as depreciation. A company can report book profits while still burning cash; operating cash flow reveals that.
Piotroski F-Score
A balance-sheet health check developed by Joseph Piotroski: 9 yes/no criteria covering earnings, cash flow, leverage, and efficiency produce a score from 0 to 9. Scores of 7 or higher are considered financially very solid, scores under 3 a warning sign.
Sector & Industry
Two levels of industry classification: sector is broad (e.g., Technology), industry is narrow (e.g., Semiconductors). Many strategies watch industry strength, because strong stocks are almost always found in strong industries.
Stage (Weinstein Stages 1-4)
Stan Weinstein divides every price chart into four stages: Stage 1 = basing (sideways after a downtrend), Stage 2 = uptrend (the only buying stage), Stage 3 = topping, Stage 4 = downtrend (avoid, or short candidate). Measured against the 30-week line (150-day moving average) and its slope.
Stress RS (Strength on Stress Days)
A stress day is a day on which both the overall market and the stock's own sector fell at least 0.5%. Stress RS counts on how many of these days the stock still closed green (shown as "g/n" = green days out of n stress days) and turns that into a rating from 1 to 99. High values point to buyers stepping in even on weak days - often a sign of institutional accumulation.

Hit List

Tip: clicking a column header sorts the table by that column; a second click flips the direction.

Parabolic Death Cross
Symbol Signal Age (Days) Prior Run-Up Earnings Avg/Y 3Y Stress RS Stage Funda Rating Piotroski MktCap Industry AI Rating Deep Dive Deep-Dive Report Sector Price YTD 6 Mo. 1 Year Off High Price Target RS EPS Rating ADR 10D ADR 30D Beta P/E P/E (f) P/S P/B P/FCF PEG EV/EBITDA EBIT Margin Gross Margin Net Margin ROE ROA Debt/Eq Equity Ratio Sales +/Y Growth Score Div. Yield Payout Ratio Altman Z Inst. % Short % Analysts
No stocks currently pass this scanner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Stocks that have at least doubled within a few weeks — and whose 10-day line has now fallen below the 20-day line. For a holder this is the moment the parabola breaks: we backtested 3,905 such cases from 2010 onward, and a good half of the decline that followed came only AFTER this cross.

All scanners are recalculated daily across the entire stock universe — most recently on 8. August 2026. The data basis is fundamental data and SEC filings (10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports).

Currently, 27 stocks pass this scanner's criteria (as of 8. August 2026).

No global trading filters — this strategy checks the entire stock universe purely against its own criteria (mega caps over $50B included).

This scanner deliberately hunts for red flags — a hit is a finding, not a recommendation: like a smoke detector that beeps so you look in time. A hit is also not a bankruptcy verdict; most companies save themselves (say, through a capital raise, which dilutes existing shareholders). Portfolio owners use the list as an early-warning system, bargain hunters as an anti-shopping list, experienced traders as a watch list — it is never a buy or short recommendation.

The scanner looks for stocks that have run up parabolically and whose short moving average has now crossed below the long one. In detail: the adjusted close at least doubled from its low to its high, the low sits no more than 40 trading days before that high, and the high is also the highest close of the last 120 trading days. Within the following 30 trading days the 10-day line drops below the 20-day line — that day is the signal, and it comes from the last 20 trading days. The stock also has to be tradable: at least $1 unadjusted price at the low and at least $1 million in median daily turnover between the low and the high. We backtested this rule from 2010 onward on a survivorship-bias-free price database and found 3,905 such cases. The key result: a good half of the entire decline came only AFTER the cross — so as a warning for someone holding the stock, the signal is useful. As a trading recipe it explicitly is not: selling short on the cross day with a 15% profit target, a 15% stop and a hold of at most ten days averaged out to zero, because the snapbacks upward are just as violent. That is why the scanner sits under Risk rather than among the trade ideas. The "Clean Parabola" badge separates the path on top of that: it is awarded only when all five checks pass — no run-up that came half from a single one-day jump, a cross within 15 trading days of the high, no months-long creeping trend (10-day line on top for at most 45 days), no intermediate drop back below the 20-day line, and still at least 85% of that line on the cross day. Of the 3,905 cases, 842 were left. A hit is a find, not an order to sell. Source: price data.

Related scanners

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

Was this page helpful to you?