Garrett Motion Inc (GTX)
🔔 Watch stock
symbol.quality_heading
We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.
Whoever buys today is betting that hybrid demand and buybacks drown out the forecast market decline for longer than the market expects — and pays a good twenty times earnings for it instead of the six to eight times of 2024/2025. Whoever waits checks three things in every quarterly report (10-Q): Is revenue growing without currency tailwind? Is the zero-emission business winning series awards? And does leverage stay under control despite the buybacks? The decision is yours.
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Garrett Motion builds turbochargers for more than 60 automakers — and lights up 24 filters in our in-house stock scanner at once, almost all of them trend and momentum (data as of July 10, 2026). We read the annual reports (10-K) for 2024 and 2025 and the quarterly report (10-Q) as of March 31, 2026: a record quarter with $985 million in revenue, $310 million of annual profit, a dividend and buybacks — but also a stockholders' deficit of $802 million, $1.4 billion of gross debt, and a market outlook in the company's own filing that sees global turbocharger production falling from 2026 onward. Not investment advice — just a look through the windshield while the rearview mirror gleams.
Read the analysis
Stock Watch
This analysis is as of July 17, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at GTX since then.
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Appears in These Scanners
This stock currently matches 24 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.
Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners
Trading Day
Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.
52-Week Range
Current price 31.20 $ — 79% of the range above the low.
Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.
Basics
Performance
Technical Indicators
Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026
Valuation
Profitability
Balance Sheet & Safety
Growth
Dividend
Quality & Screener
AI Rating
Uses AIGarrett Motion erzielt laut 10-K/10-Q keine Umsätze mit KI-Produkten, dokumentiert aber operativen KI-Einsatz: ein KI-gestütztes Kompetenz-Analysesystem im Personalbereich (seit 2023) sowie die Einführung von KI-Werkzeugen als Teil der Produktivitäts- und Kostensenkungsinitiativen; die Risk Factors nennen KI nur als generellen Verstärker von IP- und Cyberrisiken, nicht als konkretes Risiko für das Turbolader-Geschäftsmodell.
View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„To support our strategy and objectives, in 2023 we implemented a skills intelligence system. This system, enabled by artificial intelligence, can detect known and hidden capabilities of our employees. We expect this system will support us in identifying efficient paths of upskilling, reskilling and hiring for our future needs."
Zur Unterstützung unserer Strategie und Ziele haben wir 2023 ein Kompetenz-Analysesystem eingeführt. Dieses System, das auf Künstlicher Intelligenz basiert, kann bekannte und verborgene Fähigkeiten unserer Beschäftigten erkennen. Wir erwarten, dass dieses System uns dabei unterstützt, effiziente Wege der Weiterqualifizierung, Umschulung und Einstellung für unseren künftigen Bedarf zu identifizieren.
„In addition, we seek productivity and cost savings benefits through repositioning actions and projects, such as consolidation of manufacturing facilities, transitions to cost-competitive regions, workforce reductions, asset impairments, product line rationalizations, implementation of artificial intelligence tools and other cost-saving initiatives."
Darüber hinaus streben wir Produktivitäts- und Kostenvorteile durch Umbau-Maßnahmen und -Projekte an, etwa die Zusammenlegung von Fertigungsstandorten, Verlagerungen in kostengünstige Regionen, Personalabbau, Wertberichtigungen, die Straffung von Produktlinien, die Einführung von Werkzeugen der Künstlichen Intelligenz und weitere Kostensenkungsinitiativen.
„This risk is heightened with the broad adoption of artificial intelligence tools, which is expected to enhance intellectual property creation by our competition. Accordingly, our intellectual property may not be sufficient on its own to provide us with a competitive advantage, which in turn could weaken our ability to secure business awards from our customers and/or our ability to achieve targeted product profitability."
Dieses Risiko verschärft sich mit der breiten Einführung von KI-Werkzeugen, die die Schaffung geistigen Eigentums durch unsere Wettbewerber voraussichtlich beschleunigen wird. Unser geistiges Eigentum reicht daher möglicherweise allein nicht aus, um uns einen Wettbewerbsvorteil zu verschaffen — was wiederum unsere Fähigkeit schwächen könnte, Aufträge unserer Kunden zu gewinnen und/oder die angestrebte Produktprofitabilität zu erreichen.
Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-04-30 · 10-Q 2025-10-23 · 10-Q 2025-07-24 · 10-Q 2025-05-01 · 10-K 2026-02-19 · 10-K 2025-02-20
Rated on July 17, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built
Growth Score
2 of 10 Weak growthTen checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.
- Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years -0.2% failed
- More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year 3.9% failed
- Share count grows by less than 3% a year 46.3% failed
- Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") 12.7% failed
- Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 24.5% failed
- Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 8.2% failed
- Net debt below twice EBITDA 2.2 x EBITDA failed
- Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 433 m passed
- Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago 49.1% passed
- Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 1.1% failed
A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail
Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.
Analysts & Price Target
The price target sits 17.0% above the current price.
- Consensus
- Sell
- Analyst Ratings
- 1
Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.
Estimates by Fiscal Year
| Fiscal Year | EPS Estimate ($) | EPS Range ($) | Revenue Estimate ($M) | Expected Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 2.11 | 2.10 – 2.13 | 3,816 | 34.1% | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2.25 | 2.05 – 2.35 | 3,988 | 6.4% | 3 |
Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.
Revenue & Profit
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Margins
Per Share
Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.
None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.
· Total · per year
These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.
The figures could not be loaded right now.
Source: fundamental data
Quarterly Figures
| Quarter | EPS (Earnings Per Share) | EPS YoY (%) | Sales ($M) | Sales YoY (%) | Net Margin (%) | OCF ($M) | FCF ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024: Q4 | 0.47 | 118.80 | 844 | -10.70 | 11.80 | 131 | 109 |
| 2025: Q1 | 0.30 | 8.20 | 878 | -4.00 | 7.10 | 56 | 30 |
| 2025: Q2 | 0.42 | 49.60 | 913 | 2.60 | 9.50 | 158 | 143 |
| 2025: Q3 | 0.38 | 59.90 | 902 | 9.20 | 8.50 | 100 | 90 |
| 2025: Q4 | 0.43 | -9.40 | 891 | 5.60 | 9.40 | 99 | 78 |
| 2026: Q1 | 0.49 | 64.60 | 985 | 12.20 | 9.60 | 98 | 69 |
- EPS (Earnings Per Share):
- Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
- YoY (Year over Year):
- Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
- Sales:
- All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
- Net Margin:
- What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
- OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
- The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow):
- Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.
Annual Figures
| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($M) | EBIT ($M) | Net Income ($M) | EPS ($) | Operating Cash Flow ($M) | Equity ($M) | Total Assets ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2,997 | 479 | 199 | 2.62 | 305 | -1,221 | 2,661 |
| 2017 | 3,096 | 508 | -983 | -12.95 | 71 | -2,195 | 2,997 |
| 2018 | 3,375 | 524 | 1,180 | 15.86 | 373 | -2,593 | 2,104 |
| 2019 | 3,248 | 464 | 313 | 4.12 | 242 | -2,133 | 2,275 |
| 2020 | 3,034 | 288 | 80 | 1.05 | 25 | -2,308 | 3,017 |
| 2021 | 3,633 | 507 | 495 | 7.10 | -310 | -468 | 2,706 |
| 2022 | 3,603 | 471 | 390 | 5.99 | 375 | -116 | 2,637 |
| 2023 | 3,886 | 486 | 261 | 1.57 | 465 | -735 | 2,527 |
| 2024 | 3,475 | 463 | 282 | 1.26 | 408 | -673 | 2,276 |
| 2025 | 3,584 | 493 | 310 | 1.52 | 413 | -802 | 2,367 |
Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.
Assessment: Opportunities & Risks
Four profitable years in a row ($310 million of net income in 2025), $510 million of Adjusted EBIT, $413 million of operating cash flow, interest expense cut by $48 million to $108 million in 2025; in the first quarter of 2026, revenue up 12 percent and net income up 53 percent (annual report 10-K for 2025, quarterly report 10-Q as of 03/31/2026).
A dividend since January 2025 (now $0.08 per quarter), $208 million of buybacks in 2025, a new $250 million program for 2026; the share count fell a good 9 percent in five quarters to 187.7 million — which is why earnings per share grew faster than earnings (+21 versus +10 percent in 2025).
The company's own annual report expects global turbocharger production to decrease from 2026 onward and fall back to 2022 volume levels by 2030; the new businesses (e-powertrain and fuel-cell compressors) are, per the filing, largely in pre-development — the hybrid wave (16 to 26 million vehicles by 2029, per S&P) is the buffer, not the solution (10-K for 2025, Item 1).
A stockholders' deficit of $802 million against $1,439 million of gross debt and $177 million of cash (December 31, 2025), an Altman Z around 1.5; on top, Stellantis, BMW and Ford at a combined roughly 34 percent of revenue — with no minimum purchase obligations and contractually falling piece prices (10-K for 2025, Items 1 and 1A).
24 trend hits in the scanner, plus 248 percent in twelve months, a few percent below the all-time high — while the price-to-earnings ratio expanded from 6–8 to about 20.5 (data as of July 10, 2026); insiders sold twenty times and bought zero times recently, and Oaktree handed 7.5 million shares back to the company for $103 million.
Garrett Motion is the rare case of a Chapter 11 returnee that gets almost everything right operationally: reliable profits, strong cash flow, a dividend, aggressive buybacks, a record quarter. But after a 248 percent price gain in twelve months, the stock has largely priced that quality in, while two structural burdens remain: a core market its own annual report sees shrinking from 2026, and a balance sheet with a $802 million stockholders' deficit that forgives no bad year. Whoever invests here buys the best player in a finite game — at the price of a growth stock. Not investment advice.
- GTX reached our research list via the confluence of 24 trend hits in our in-house stock scanner (data as of July 10, 2026) — one of the broadest momentum signatures of recent months.
- Scanner metrics (P/E, P/S, Piotroski, Altman Z) are computed from trailing twelve-month figures; the Altman Z of 1.5 mainly reflects the negative equity from the Chapter 11 legacy and the buybacks, not acute payment problems — interest coverage and cash flow are solid.
- Price and valuation figures are dated to July 10, 2026 (about $35, market value roughly $6.5 billion); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument.
About the Company
Garrett Motion Inc. entwirft, fertigt und verkauft Turbolader-, Luft- und Fluidkompressions- sowie Hochgeschwindigkeits-Elektromotortechnologien an Erstausrüster und unabhängige Aftermarket-Händler in den Bereichen Mobilität und Industrie.
| CEO Insider Trades (12 Mo.) | selling own stock |
|---|---|
| Employees | 6,300 |
| Headquarters | Plymouth, MI |
| Address | 47548 Halyard Drive, 48170 Plymouth, United States |
| Phone | 734-392-5500 |
| Website | garrettmotion.com |
| IPO Date | 17. Sep 2018 |
| ISIN | US3665051054 |
Management
| Name | Title | Birth Year |
|---|---|---|
| Olivier Rabiller | President, CEO & Director | 1971 |
| Sean Ernest Deason C.M.A. | Senior VP & CFO | 1972 |
| Craig Balis | Senior VP & CTO | 1965 |
| Thierry Mabru | Senior Vice President of Integrated Supply Chain | 1968 |
| Joanne Lau | VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller | 1978 |
| Thomas Peter | Senior VP & Chief Digital & Information Officer | – |
| Cyril Grandjean | Vice President of Investor Relations & Treasurer | – |
| Mark Rollinger | Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 1969 |
| Fabrice Spenninck | Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 1969 |
| Eric Fraysse | President Global Aftermarket, Brazil & India | – |
Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.
Chart
Interactive price chart (TradingView).
Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)
Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.