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Buy Day today: Neutral (53) Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Dorian LPG Ltd (LPG)

Energy Oil & Gas Midstream
47.40 $
+2.6% vs. previous close
Closing price · As of: 31. Jul 2026
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Trading Day

Previous Close
46.20$
Open
46.70$
Day High
47.40$
Day Low
46.00$
Volume
610,151shares

Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.

52-Week Range

52-Week Low 52-Week High
23.90 $ 47.70 $
12/30/2025 05/20/2026

Current price 47.40 $ — 99% of the range above the low.

Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.

Basics

Market Cap
2.1$B
Shares Outstanding
43Mio.
Float
86.0%
Beta
0.8

Performance

Perf. 1M
-15.50%
Perf. 3M
8.30%
Perf. 6M
53.00%
YTD Performance (%)
74.80%
52-Week-High Distance
-23.2%
Perf. 1Y
84.51%
Perf. 3Y
125.11%
Perf. 5Y
820.54%
Perf. 10Y
1,705.24%
Perf. Since Inception
497.56%

Technical Indicators

MA 38 Days
41.30$
MA 50 Days
41.70$
MA 200 Days
33.60$
RSI (14)
68.1
Volatility 30 Days
46.3%
Volatility 250 Days
40.9%

Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026

Valuation

P/E
10.4
Forward P/E
5.8
PEG
P/B
1.8
P/S
4.3
EV/EBITDA
8.3
Price/FCF
10.9

Profitability

Gross Margin
68.9%
EBIT Margin
55.2%
Net Margin
40.8%
Return on Equity
17.7%
Return on Assets
7.2%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
60.9%
Debt/Equity
0.6
Altman Z″
7.37
very solid
Piotroski
8 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
105.20%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
Sales Growth (Year)
36.27%
Forward Sales Growth
-28.89%
Forward EPS Growth
-52.10%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
7.06%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
3.95$
Payout Ratio
77.7%
Years Without a Cut
0Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
2
RS Rating
83
Top 10%
EPS Rating
96
very solid
Piotroski
8 out of 9
Fundamental Rating
B (64 out of 100)
Altman Z″
7.37

AI Rating

Neutral

Geprüft am 10.07.2026 gegen den Geschäftsbericht (10-K) für das Geschäftsjahr per 31.03.2026 (eingereicht 27.05.2026), das Vorjahres-10-K (per 31.03.2025) und die vier jüngsten Quartalsberichte (10-Q). In den ausgewerteten SEC-Filings von Dorian LPG findet sich kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug: Dorian ist ein Betreiber sehr großer Gastanker (VLGC) für den Transport von Flüssiggas — KI ist weder Umsatzquelle noch als operatives Werkzeug hervorgehoben. Die einzigen Erwähnungen von „artificial intelligence“ sind generische Cybersecurity- und Vorausschau-Floskeln in den Risk Factors und der Cautionary-Statement-Liste („the misuse or intentional or unintentional misapplication of artificial intelligence in our business“ sowie „the risk associated with the use of emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing for nefarious purposes“) — kein konkretes, auf das eigene Reederei-Geschäftsmodell bezogenes KI-Risiko im Sinne des Kriterienkatalogs und keine belegte operative KI-Nutzung. Nach der Vorrang-Regel (verkauft > bedroht > nutzt > neutral) bleibt es damit bei „neutral“; Boilerplate-Risikofloskeln begründen kein „bedroht“.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings

What the Earnings Calls Reveal

Red flags guidance repeatedly missed

Operationally, Dorian LPG delivers: the newbuilding, the ammonia retrofits and the drydocking program were executed over two years exactly as announced, and fiscal 2026 ended with record results. The quarterly guidance is a different story: for five consecutive quarters (fiscal 2025-Q3 through 2026-Q3) the booking rate quoted on the call exceeded the rate later realized, once by roughly 13,000 dollars per day. After analysts called out two of these misses, management stopped giving in-call guidance altogether and moved it to later in the quarter. Holders should therefore read management's rate indications as a ceiling, not as an expected value.

10 calls reviewed, 2024-Q3 through 2026-Q4 · As of August 2, 2026

Five straight quarters below the quoted booking rate

On the 2025-Q2 call the CFO quoted over 40,000 dollars per day for the December quarter; roughly 36,100 was realized (2025-Q3). For the March quarter over 37,000 was quoted, roughly 35,300 delivered (2025-Q4); for the June quarter roughly 42,000, with 39,726 delivered (2026-Q1). The starkest gap came from 2026-Q1: over 67,000 dollars per day for about 70 percent of days was quoted for the September quarter, while 53,725 was realized (2026-Q2) — the Jefferies analyst raised the gap directly on the call. The subsequent 57,000 indication also fell short (50,333 realized in 2026-Q3). Management cites revenue timing, discharge options and drydock days; but the direction of the miss was the same five times: downward.

After the misses, in-call guidance was pulled

In 2026-Q2 the CFO, when asked, still assured that the new 57,000 guidance should be much more on target — it missed again. On the 2026-Q3 call there were then, for the first time in years, no forward booking figures; they would in future be published later in the quarter, as that would be more useful for investors. In 2026-Q4 the company again only said the figures would come shortly. The stated rationale is defensible, but the timing stands out: the change came immediately after two quarters in which analysts had openly raised the misses. An honest assessment of the company's own hit rate was never offered.

Metrics and guidance basis changed repeatedly

In 2024-Q4 management switched its guidance presentation: instead of percent of days booked with the associated rate (still over 100,000 dollars for over 60 percent of days in 2024-Q3), it began quoting a rate across all available pool days. In 2025-Q2 the definition of available days was additionally changed (unscheduled off-hire now deducted) and the operating-days metric was dropped entirely. Both changes were openly explained and justified as industry practice, but each landed in a quarter with weaker rates. Together with the later guidance withdrawal, a pattern emerges: presentation gets adjusted when the numbers turn uncomfortable.

2024 winter optimism misfired, dividend cut twice

In late October 2024 (2025-Q2 call) management was optimistic ahead of the seasonally strong winter period. On the 2025-Q3 call it had to concede that the winter spike failed to appear for the first time in four years, and cut the dividend from 1.00 to 0.70 dollars per share; 2025-Q4 brought a further cut to 0.50 dollars. In fairness, the dividend was always declared irregular and results-dependent — the cuts break no promise. But the episode shows that management's invariably confident market outlook has little predictive power: the tone at 91,000 dollars spot was the same as at 30,000.

Fleet commitments were kept throughout

The pattern in rate guidance contrasts with a clean record on hard commitments. The ammonia-capable newbuilding ordered in 2024-Q3 was delivered at the end of March 2026 as announced and financed with a 62.9 million dollar loan exactly as flagged in 2026-Q3 (2026-Q4). The two additional ammonia retrofits promised in 2025-Q3 were executed on schedule in 2025, and the large drydocking program of twelve dockings was fully completed by early 2026 (2026-Q3). Cost indications (around 26,000 dollars cash cost per day) also held steady over the years. Operationally this management is predictable — just not in its rate forecasts.

Management promises

  • 2024-Q3 kept

    Newbuilding of an ammonia-capable VLGC/VLAC at Hanwha in South Korea, delivery in 2026.

    Per the 2026-Q4 call the vessel was delivered at the end of March 2026 and is contributing to earnings immediately — delivered on the dot.

  • 2025-Q3 kept

    Two more existing VLGCs to be retrofitted for ammonia cargo during 2025.

    The second retrofit was completed per 2025-Q4, and the third followed on schedule in the final quarter of 2025 per 2026-Q3.

  • 2026-Q1 broken

    For the September 2025 quarter, about 70 percent of days were said to be booked at a rate in excess of 67,000 dollars per day.

    53,725 dollars per day was realized (2026-Q2) — a gap of roughly 13,000 dollars that the Jefferies analyst raised openly on the call; it was attributed to revenue timing and drydock days.

  • 2026-Q2 broken

    The new guidance of about 57,000 dollars per day for the December quarter was said to be much more on target this time and a good barometer.

    50,333 dollars per day was realized (2026-Q3). Instead of an explanation, management changed its guidance practice on that same call and has since released booking figures only later in the quarter.

  • 2026-Q3 kept

    The final payment of about 62 million dollars for the newbuilding was to be financed via a loan facility.

    Per 2026-Q4, 62.9 million dollars was borrowed at delivery at 125 basis points over SOFR — exactly as announced.

Based on public earnings call transcripts. Reviewed: 10 transcripts 2024-Q3 through 2026-Q4.

Growth Score

6 of 10 Solid growth

Ten checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.

  • Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years 7.3% failed
  • More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year -28.9% failed
  • Share count grows by less than 3% a year 1.9% passed
  • Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") 60.4% passed
  • Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 54.1% failed
  • Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 0.0% passed
  • Net debt below twice EBITDA 1.3 x EBITDA passed
  • Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 180 m passed
  • Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago 12.2% failed
  • Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 14.2% passed

A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Analysts & Price Target

Current Price 47.40 $
Price Target (average) 51.00 $

The price target sits 7.6% above the current price.

Consensus
Strong Sell
Analyst Ratings
4
Distribution of Recommendations
Strong Buy 3
Buy 1
Hold 0
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.

Estimates by Fiscal Year

Estimates by Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year EPS Estimate ($) EPS Range ($) Revenue Estimate ($M) Expected Growth Analysts
03/31/2027 7.05 6.17 – 8.11 576 54.3% 3
03/31/2028 3.76 3.28 – 4.38 416 -46.7% 3

Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.

Next Reporting Date

5. Aug 2026 · before the open · Q2 2026
Expected Earnings per Share
2.26 $

Expected date of the next quarterly or annual figures. Dates do shift occasionally — only the invitation issued by the company is binding.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

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The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 80.7 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 75.9 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 84.2 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 120.6 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 120.0 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 153.3 $M Q1

Source: fundamental data

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Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 0.50 -79.70 81 -50.50 26.50 24 21
2025: Q1 0.19 -90.30 76 -46.30 10.70 50 37
2025: Q2 0.24 -81.10 84 -26.40 12.00 1 -2
2025: Q3 1.30 486.80 121 46.30 45.90 46 33
2025: Q4 1.11 120.90 120 48.70 39.30 81 97
2026: Q1 1.90 904.70 153 102.00 52.90 82 63
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Annual Figures

Annual Figures
Fiscal Year Revenue ($M) EBIT ($M) Net Income ($M) EPS ($) Operating Cash Flow ($M) Equity ($M) Total Assets ($M)
2017 167 14 -1 -0.03 52 976 1,746
2018 159 4 -20 -0.38 57 959 1,736
2019 158 -8 -51 -0.93 9 913 1,625
2020 333 161 112 2.07 169 977 1,672
2021 316 116 93 1.86 171 947 1,582
2022 274 92 72 1.78 171 947 1,582
2023 390 198 172 4.29 119 920 1,607
2024 561 329 307 7.60 388 1,024 1,838
2025 353 113 90 2.14 173 1,046 1,779
2026 482 207 194 4.55 210 1,139 1,872

Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.

About the Company

Dorian LPG Ltd. beschäftigt sich zusammen mit seinen Tochtergesellschaften mit dem Transport von Flüssiggas über seine LPG-Tanker weltweit.

CEO Insider Trades (12 Mo.)buying own stock
Employees602
HeadquartersStamford, CT
Address27 Signal Road, 06902 Stamford, United States
Phone203 674 9900
Websitedorianlpg.com
IPO Date8. May 2014
ISINMHY2106R1100

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
John C. Hadjipateras Chairman of the Board, President & CEO 1950
Theodore B. Young CFO, Treasurer and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer 1967
Alexander C. Hadjipateras Chief Operating Officer 1979
John C. Lycouris Head of Energy Transition & Director 1950
Tim T. Hansen Chief Commercial Officer 1969
Nigel Grey-Turner Vice President of Chartering, Insurance & Legal
Constantine J. Markakis President & CEO of Dorian LPG Management - Athens
Taro Rasmussen Vice President of Chartering

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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