Toast Inc (TOST)
🔔 Watch stock
symbol.quality_heading
The business works in principle, but one material question is open. As long as it stays open, our findings do not carry a quality verdict.
Whoever buys today bets that the earnings staircase ($0.05 → $0.21 per share in six quarters) keeps climbing and that the market eventually pays for the turnaround — at roughly 19 times the 2026 estimates that is not an absurd bet, but not a gift either. Whoever waits checks three lines in every quarterly report (10-Q): location growth (does it stay above 20 percent?), the net margin (does the staircase continue past 7.7 percent?) and the insider Forms 4 on EDGAR — the first substantial insider purchase would be the signal the turnaround checklist is missing for its eighth point. The decision is yours.
symbol.quality_note
Toast runs the point of sale, software and payment rails of roughly 171,000 restaurants — and has just delivered a textbook operational turnaround: a $246 million loss (2023) became a $342 million profit (2025), and the first quarter of 2026 added another 125 percent. Yet the stock sits about 60 percent below its high, and in our in-house turnaround scanner exactly one box on the checklist stays unticked: insiders are not buying — they are selling. We read the annual report (10-K) for 2025 and the quarterly report (10-Q) as of March 31, 2026: the thin spread behind the six-billion-dollar revenue line, hardware sold at a planned loss, and a share class that bundles 55 percent of the votes. Not investment advice — just the question why the people who know Toast best keep landing on the sell side.
Read the analysis
Stock Watch
This analysis is as of July 19, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at TOST since then.
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Appears in These Scanners
This stock currently matches 1 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.
Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners
Trading Day
Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.
52-Week Range
Current price 32.30 $ — 37% of the range above the low.
Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.
Basics
Performance
Technical Indicators
Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026
Valuation
Profitability
Balance Sheet & Safety
Growth
Dividend
This stock currently pays no dividend.
Quality & Screener
AI Rating
Uses AIToast verkauft keine KI als eigenständige Umsatzquelle — die Erlöse stammen laut 10-K 2025 aus Software-Abos, Zahlungsabwicklung und Hardware für Restaurants. Die Filings belegen aber breiten operativen KI-Einsatz in den eigenen bezahlten Produkten: „Toast IQ“ ist als dialogfähiger KI-Assistent fest in die Plattform eingebaut (Item 1 Business), die Marketing-Produkte enthalten einen KI-Schreibassistenten, das Retail-Modul KI-generierte Artikelbeschreibungen, und das Risikokapitel bestätigt ausdrücklich den KI-Einsatz „both for internal productivity purposes and in products and services available to our customers“. Eine dedizierte KI-Umsatzquelle im Sinne des Kriterienkatalogs (KI-Produkte/-Dienste als Umsatzträger) weisen die Filings nicht aus — die KI-Funktionen sind unbepreiste Bestandteile des Abo-Angebots. Daher Nutzt KI statt Verkauft KI.
View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„Toast IQ is a conversational artificial intelligence, or AI, assistant built into our platform that uses real-time and historical data from our customers’ operations to help surface actionable business insights and enable operators to ask questions in natural language and take actions directly within the Toast system."
Toast IQ ist ein dialogfähiger Assistent auf Basis Künstlicher Intelligenz (KI), der in unsere Plattform eingebaut ist und Echtzeit- wie historische Daten aus dem Betrieb unserer Kunden nutzt, um verwertbare Geschäftserkenntnisse sichtbar zu machen und es Betreibern zu ermöglichen, Fragen in natürlicher Sprache zu stellen und Aktionen direkt im Toast-System auszuführen.
„We use AI in our platform and product offerings, and our success is dependent upon our ability to leverage data, develop competitive products, and manage related risks. We utilize AI solutions both for internal productivity purposes and in products and services available to our customers."
Wir setzen KI in unserer Plattform und unseren Produktangeboten ein, und unser Erfolg hängt davon ab, dass wir Daten nutzbar machen, wettbewerbsfähige Produkte entwickeln und die damit verbundenen Risiken beherrschen. Wir verwenden KI-Lösungen sowohl für interne Produktivitätszwecke als auch in Produkten und Diensten, die unseren Kunden zur Verfügung stehen.
„Features within our marketing products, such as our writing assistant powered by AI, custom templates and one-click email campaigns, are designed to help operators save time on crafting marketing strategies."
Funktionen innerhalb unserer Marketing-Produkte — etwa unser KI-gestützter Schreibassistent, individuelle Vorlagen und Ein-Klick-E-Mail-Kampagnen — sollen Betreibern helfen, beim Erstellen von Marketingstrategien Zeit zu sparen.
Rated on July 19, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built
Growth Score
6 of 10 Solid growthTen checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.
- Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years 31.1% passed
- More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year 18.1% passed
- Share count grows by less than 3% a year 5.8% failed
- Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") 33.9% failed
- Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 25.8% failed
- Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 3.6% passed
- Net debt below twice EBITDA 1,951 m net cash passed
- Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 1,041 m passed
- Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago 14.0% passed
- Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 5.6% failed
A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail
Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.
Analysts & Price Target
The price target sits 7.5% above the current price.
- Consensus
- Sell
- Analyst Ratings
- 29
Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.
Estimates by Fiscal Year
| Fiscal Year | EPS Estimate ($) | EPS Range ($) | Revenue Estimate ($M) | Expected Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1.35 | 1.13 – 1.53 | 7,387 | 33.1% | 16 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1.69 | 1.46 – 1.99 | 8,720 | 25.2% | 16 |
Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.
Next Reporting Date
- Expected Earnings per Share
- 0.23 $
Expected date of the next quarterly or annual figures. Dates do shift occasionally — only the invitation issued by the company is binding.
Revenue & Profit
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Margins
Per Share
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· Total · per year
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The figures could not be loaded right now.
Source: fundamental data
Quarterly Figures
| Quarter | EPS (Earnings Per Share) | EPS YoY (%) | Sales ($M) | Sales YoY (%) | Net Margin (%) | OCF ($M) | FCF ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024: Q4 | 0.05 | – | 1,338 | 29.20 | 2.40 | 147 | 134 |
| 2025: Q1 | 0.09 | – | 1,337 | 24.40 | 4.20 | 79 | 69 |
| 2025: Q2 | 0.13 | 454.40 | 1,550 | 24.80 | 5.20 | 223 | 208 |
| 2025: Q3 | 0.17 | 81.70 | 1,633 | 25.10 | 6.40 | 165 | 153 |
| 2025: Q4 | 0.17 | 212.00 | 1,633 | 22.00 | 6.20 | 194 | 178 |
| 2026: Q1 | 0.21 | 125.40 | 1,630 | 21.90 | 7.70 | 132 | 115 |
- EPS (Earnings Per Share):
- Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
- YoY (Year over Year):
- Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
- Sales:
- All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
- Net Margin:
- What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
- OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
- The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
- FCF (Free Cash Flow):
- Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.
Annual Figures
| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($M) | EBIT ($M) | Net Income ($M) | EPS ($) | Operating Cash Flow ($M) | Equity ($M) | Total Assets ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 665 | -213 | -209 | -0.45 | -126 | -330 | 306 |
| 2020 | 823 | -220 | -248 | -0.54 | -125 | -471 | 776 |
| 2021 | 1,705 | -228 | -487 | -0.97 | 2 | 1,091 | 1,735 |
| 2022 | 2,731 | -384 | -275 | -0.54 | -156 | 1,098 | 1,761 |
| 2023 | 3,865 | -287 | -246 | -0.46 | 135 | 1,194 | 1,958 |
| 2024 | 4,960 | 16 | 19 | 0.03 | 360 | 1,545 | 2,463 |
| 2025 | 6,153 | 305 | 342 | 0.56 | 661 | 2,124 | 3,145 |
Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.
Assessment: Opportunities & Risks
Net result turned from −$246 million (2023) via +$19 million (2024) to +$342 million (2025); Q1 2026 added +$126 million (up 125 percent) at a 7.7 percent net margin; operating cash flow of $661 million and free cash flow of $608 million (10-K 2025, 10-Q as of 03/31/2026).
171,000 locations (up 22 percent), $204 billion in payment volume (TTM) and a $2,151 million recurring run-rate (up 26 percent) as of March 31, 2026 — the bundle of register, subscription and payment rail carries high switching costs for customers.
$1,991 million in cash and securities against essentially no debt (12/31/2025), an Altman Z-Score near 8, a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9 (Q1 2026); the buyback program was raised by $500 million in February 2026, with $327 million deployed in the first quarter alone.
A good 80 percent of revenue is payment processing keeping just over half a cent gross per processed dollar; hardware is subsidized as customer acquisition at a $220 million gross loss (2025) — group gross margin near 26 percent, volume- and cycle-dependent, essentially a U.S.-only business.
20 insider sales, 0 purchases within twelve months, the CEO included (fundamental data, as of July 18, 2026) — the missing eighth point of the turnaround checklist; in addition, 66 million Class B shares (10 votes each) bundle about 55 percent of the voting power (10-K 2025).
P/E near 39 trailing, near 19 on 2026 and near 15 on 2027 estimates, price/FCF near 23, P/S near 2.3 (data as of July 18, 2026) — no bargain, but no growth premium either for a business compounding at a good 20 percent; the stock sits about 60 percent below its all-time high.
Toast is the rare turnaround that is not hoped for but audited: three earnings steps from −$246 million to +$342 million, growing cash flow, a full treasury, 22 percent location growth — and a scanner result of 7 of 8 turnaround points (rank 5 of the U.S. selection, as of July 18, 2026). Against that stand a structurally thin payments spread that hangs on the U.S. restaurant economy, a voting majority held by the Class B insiders — and the observation that precisely these insiders have done nothing but sell for twelve months while the company buys back. Whoever invests buys a real turnaround at the price of the doubt the best-informed are sowing themselves. Not investment advice.
- TOST entered the research list as rank 5 of our in-house turnaround scanner (U.S. selection, checklist 7 of 8, as of July 18, 2026) — part of our series on the top 20 of that selection.
- Scanner metrics (P/E, P/S, P/B, Piotroski, Altman Z, relative strength, insider and institutional data) use trailing twelve-month figures as of July 18, 2026; the 2026/2027 earnings estimates come from the analyst consensus in the fundamental data (29 estimators).
- Price and market value figures (about $26, about $15 billion) are from the July 18, 2026 feed, sanity-checked against 524 million Class A plus 65 million Class B shares per the annual report 10-K for 2025 (record date February 12, 2026); analyses are evergreen, daily prices are not a buy argument.
About the Company
Toast, Inc. betreibt eine cloudbasierte digitale Technologieplattform für die Gastronomiebranche in den USA, Irland, Indien und international.
| CEO Insider Trades (12 Mo.) | selling own stock |
|---|---|
| Employees | 6,500 |
| Headquarters | Boston, MA |
| Address | 333 Summer Street, 02210 Boston, United States |
| Phone | 617 297 1005 |
| Website | pos.toasttab.com |
| IPO Date | 22. Sep 2021 |
| ISIN | US8887871080 |
Management
| Name | Title | Birth Year |
|---|---|---|
| Aman Narang | Co-Founder, CEO & Director | 1983 |
| Stephen Fredette | President, Co-Founder & Director | 1984 |
| Brian R. Elworthy J.D. | General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 1981 |
| Jonathan Vassil | Chief Revenue Officer | 1977 |
| Peter Sauerborn | Chief Operating Officer | 1967 |
| Rossana Niola | Chief Accounting Officer | 1980 |
Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.
Insider Transactions
| Date | Person | Role | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Sell | 2,000 | 30.02 | 60,036 |
| 14. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Other | 2,000 | 2.21 | 4,420 |
| 13. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Sell | 9,170 | 30.19 | 276,870 |
| 13. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Other | 9,170 | 2.21 | 20,266 |
| 7. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Sell | 3,150 | 30.03 | 94,591 |
| 7. Jul 2026 | Vassil Jonathan | Chief Revenue Officer | Other | 3,150 | 2.21 | 6,962 |
Reportable transactions by officers and major shareholders from SEC Form 4 filings. "Other" includes things like stock grants and option exercises without a buy/sell character.
View all insider transactions →Chart
Interactive price chart (TradingView).
Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)
Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.