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Buy Day today: Good (62) Broad market participation · no major macro event
HTZ

Hertz Global Holdings Inc

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · listed since 2021

1.90$ -1.1% vs. previous close Closing price · As of: Sep 17, 2026
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Assessment

Our Rating

A journalistic assessment by our editorial team at the time of the deep dive — it rates the company, not the entry point. Not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell.

Substance risk

We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.

Why this colour

Whoever buys today bets that the operating turnaround holds even without the used-car tailwind, that the $17 billion debt load and the 8% PIK interest meter do not devour the recovery before it reaches the shareholder, and that a negative, still-falling equity turns back into real substance rather than diluting through new shares. Whoever waits checks four lines in every quarterly report (10-Q): the equity deficit (last −$786 million), the direction of fleet depreciation, the interest burden and the shares outstanding. With negative equity, $17 billion in debt and expensive PIK notes, the drop is long — the decision is yours.

What the thesis turns on

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Hertz is the phoenix trap in pure form: a world-famous brand that already rose from bankruptcy once, with a real operating turnaround (net loss from −$2,862 million to −$747 million, adjusted corporate EBITDA from −$1,541 million to −$339 million, Q1 2026 revenue +10.5 percent) — but with a balance sheet that tips in the middle of that very turnaround: equity slid from +$153 million to −$786 million, debt stands at $17 billion including 8% PIK notes, the $1,077 million interest burden eats half the progress, and the halved loss comes half from normalized fleet depreciation. Whoever invests buys a leveraged bet on a resale and restructuring cycle — carried by a familiar story, not by balance-sheet substance. Not investment advice.

Operating turnaround

The direction is right: net loss narrowed from −$2,862 million (2024) to −$747 million (2025), adjusted corporate EBITDA from −$1,541 million to −$339 million, and Q1 2026 with +10.5 percent revenue and a further narrower loss. The "Back-to-Basics" program is directionally working.

Earnings quality

Half the progress is accounting: fleet depreciation fell by $1.7 billion to $1,927 million (2024: $3,611 million), and the $1,048 million special impairment from 2024 dropped out — both explain the lion's share of the earnings improvement before a single car was rented more often. A used-car price cycle, not a model leap.

Balance sheet & equity

Equity is negative and falling: +$153 million (end of 2024) → −$459 million (end of 2025) → −$786 million (March 31, 2026), against $3,249 million in accumulated losses. The substance erodes as long as losses exceed fresh capital — the most honest single number in the analysis.

Leverage & interest burden

$17,054 million in total debt (vehicle $11,629 + non-vehicle $5,425), including expensive 8.000% second-lien PIK exchangeable notes due 2029, whose interest grows in new notes. The $1,077 million interest expense (2025) exceeded the entire reduction in the net loss — the recovery must first clock the interest meter.

Dilution & volatility

The share count rose from 306.7 to 315.1 million (March 31, 2026), the PIK notes are additionally exchangeable into shares, and the 2021 Reddit meme past makes the price prone to attention-driven, fundamentally unwarranted swings.

Worth Noting

Hertz reached the research list via the Reddit hype scanner (5 mentions in 24 hours, ApeWisdom, as of July 23, 2026) — an echo of the 2021 meme legend, not a fundamental signal. The real test comes from the SEC filings.

Important for classification: today's listed entity (CIK 0001657853) is the new company after the 2021 emergence, not the old entity that went bankrupt in 2020. Old "Hertz" price histories can show an extinguished stock.

The number basis is evergreen: revenue, earnings, equity and debt as of fiscal year 2025 (ended December 31, 2025) resp. March 31, 2026; no daily prices. The net loss refers to Hertz Global Holdings; the operating subsidiary The Hertz Corporation reports slightly different figures (partly due to the public warrants at the holding level).

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of August 26, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at HTZ since then.

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Price history

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

52-week range: 1.50 $ to 7.80 $ · Last price: 1.90 $ (As of: September 17, 2026)

Key figures

Key figures at a glance

Every figure we hold for this stock, grouped by topic. The question mark next to a label explains what the number means.

Basics

Market Cap ?The value of the entire company on the market: share price times total shares outstanding. 0.6$B
Shares Outstanding ?Total number of shares issued. Price times share count gives market cap. 357m
Float ?Share of stock freely tradable on the market — not locked up in the hands of founders, insiders, or major shareholders. 47.7%
Beta ?Volatility versus the overall market: 1 = moves like the market, 2 = twice as much, under 1 = calmer than the market. 2.3

Performance

Perf. 1M ?Price performance over the last month. -62.50%
Perf. 3M ?Price performance over the last 3 months. -73.10%
Perf. 6M ?Price performance over the last 6 months. -64.20%
YTD Performance (%) ?Price performance since the start of the year (Year to Date). -62.45%
52-Week-High Distance ?How far the price sits below its highest point over the last 52 weeks. 0% means the stock is at its year high. -75.6%
Perf. 1Y ?Price performance over the last 12 months. -69.95%
Perf. 3Y ?Price performance over the last 3 years. -88.46%
Perf. 5Y ?Price performance over the last 5 years. -88.62%
Perf. Since Inception ?Price performance since the first available trading day (07/01/2021) — with a complete history, that is since the IPO. -93.11%

Technical Indicators

MA 38 Days ?Moving average of the last 38 trading days: the smoothed price path. A price above it signals short-term strength. 2.10$
MA 50 Days ?Moving average of the last 50 trading days — the most widely watched medium-term trend line. 2.00$
MA 200 Days ?Moving average of the last 200 trading days — the dividing line between a long-term uptrend and downtrend. 4.30$
RSI (14) ?Relative Strength Index over 14 days, scale 0 to 100: above 70 counts as overbought, below 30 as oversold. A hint on timing, not a verdict on the company. 38.4
Volatility 30 Days ?Price swings over the last 30 trading days, annualized. The higher the value, the more the price fluctuates. 127.9%
Volatility 250 Days ?Price swings over the last 250 trading days (roughly one market year), annualized. 100.8%

Calculated from the price history · as of 09/18/2026

Valuation

P/E ?Price-to-earnings ratio: how many years of profit does the stock cost? The lower, the cheaper the valuation. No earnings means no P/E.
Forward P/E ?P/E based on expected earnings for the next 12 months instead of past earnings — analysts' bet on the future. 11.3
PEG ?P/E divided by expected earnings growth: puts valuation in relation to growth. Around 1 is considered fair, well above that is pricey.
P/B ?Price-to-book ratio: market value relative to book equity. 0.6
P/S ?Price-to-sales ratio: market value divided by annual sales. Important for companies that aren't (yet) profitable. 0.1
EV/EBITDA ?Enterprise value including debt (EV) relative to operating profit before depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) — more comparable than P/E because debt counts too. Extreme values arise when EBITDA is near zero. 7.1
Price/FCF ?Market value divided by free cash flow: how many years of freely available cash does the stock cost? More honest than P/E because cash flow is harder to dress up.

Profitability

Gross Margin ?Gross margin: what's left of sales after only direct production costs are deducted — the product's pricing power. 16.3%
EBIT Margin ?EBIT margin: operating profit as a percentage of sales — the earning power of the core business before interest and taxes. -4.1%
Net Margin ?Net margin: what's left of sales as profit after ALL costs, interest, and taxes. -3.1%
Return on Equity ?Return on equity: how much profit does the company generate per year on shareholders' equity? -567.0%
Return on Assets ?Return on assets: how much profit the company generates from its total assets (equity and debt combined). 0.7%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio ?Equity ratio: equity as a share of total assets. The higher, the more resilient the balance sheet. very low -2.1%
Debt/Equity ?Leverage ratio: financial debt divided by equity. Under 1 is generally seen as solid; negative values mean negative equity.
Altman Z″ ?Edward Altman's bankruptcy early-warning score. We use the Z″ variant, built from four balance-sheet ratios — it is designed for service companies and non-manufacturers and uses book value instead of market value. On that scale: below 1.1 = danger zone, 2.6 and up = safe zone, in between a grey area. Because the classic Altman Z is calculated differently, the two numbers are not directly comparable. The formula does not fit banks, insurers, or real-estate stocks. warning zone 0.06
Piotroski ?Balance-sheet health check by Joseph Piotroski: 9 yes/no criteria on profit, cash flow, leverage, and efficiency. 7+ is very solid, under 3 is a red flag. 4 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter ?Sales growth in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). 10.50%
EPS Growth Last Quarter ?Growth in earnings per share in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). -30.90%
Sales Growth (Year) ?Sales growth in the last fiscal year versus the year before. -6.02%
Forward Sales Growth ?Sales growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. -68.77%
Forward EPS Growth ?Earnings-per-share growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. 62.90%

Dividend

This stock currently pays no dividend.

Quality & Screener

Stage ?Weinstein phases 1 through 4: 1 = basing, 2 = uptrend (the only buy phase), 3 = topping, 4 = downtrend. Measured against the 30-week line. 4
RS Rating ?Relative strength from 1 to 99: an RS of 95 means the stock has outperformed 95% of all stocks. 35
EPS Rating ?Earnings growth rating from 1 to 99 versus all stocks — high values mean above-average earnings growth. 20
Fundamental Rating ?Our own Fundamental Rating: 0 to 100 points with an A+ to F grade. 50 points is the average across the universe, 100 the best possible score. It scores growth, earnings surprises, analyst estimates, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet safety — every stock percentile-ranked against all others. Grades: A+ from 95, A from 75, B from 55, C from 45, D from 25, E from 5, F below. C (53 out of 100)

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Comparison

Industry comparison

The stock alongside the largest companies in the same group. The median row is the middle value of the companies shown above — not of the whole industry.

Industry: Rental & Leasing Services

Industry comparison
Company Market cap ($B) P/E EV/EBITDA Gross Margin % EBIT Margin % Sales Growth (Year) % Perf. 1Y %
Hertz Global Holdings Inc HTZ 0.6 7.1 16.3 -4.1 -6.0 -70.0
United Rentals Inc URI 62.8 25.7 10.3 38.5 23.1 4.9 8.6
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. SUNB 30.3 23.0 8.6 38.7 19.9 3.4
AerCap Holdings NV AER 22.5 7.0 11.0 62.8 57.5 2.4 19.6
U-Haul Holding Company UHAL 12.1 273.3 9.9 28.5 3.6 14.9
U-Haul Holding Company UHAL-B 11.0 403.7 10.2 28.5 15.1 3.6 8.1
Ryder System Inc R 9.2 19.5 5.3 19.8 7.1 -0.2 31.7
GATX Corporation GATX 6.5 19.4 13.1 73.6 29.8 9.8 8.2
Herc Holdings Inc HRI 4.8 7.7 31.9 9.4 22.7 10.8
Median of companies shown 11.0 23.0 9.9 31.9 17.5 3.6 9.7

Based on the most recently reported figures. Only stocks from the same trading venue are lined up, so the market caps are counted in one currency. Compare in a chart →

Fiscal years

Annual Figures

Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.

Revenue, operating income and net income per fiscal year $M

Revenue Operating income Net income

2016 · Revenue: 8,803 $M 2016 · Operating income: 610 $M 2016 · Net income: -491 $M 2017 · Revenue: 8,803 $M 2017 · Operating income: 411 $M 2017 · Net income: 327 $M 2018 · Revenue: 9,504 $M 2018 · Operating income: 584 $M 2018 · Net income: -225 $M 2019 · Revenue: 9,779 $M 2019 · Operating income: 759 $M 2019 · Net income: -58 $M 2020 · Revenue: 5,258 $M 2020 · Operating income: -892 $M 2020 · Net income: -1,714 $M 2021 · Revenue: 7,336 $M 2021 · Operating income: 2,067 $M 2021 · Net income: 366 $M 2022 · Revenue: 8,685 $M 2022 · Operating income: 2,075 $M 2022 · Net income: 2,059 $M 2023 · Revenue: 9,371 $M 2023 · Operating income: 774 $M 2023 · Net income: 616 $M 2024 · Revenue: 9,049 $M 2024 · Operating income: -562 $M 2024 · Net income: -2,862 $M 2025 · Revenue: 8,504 $M 2025 · Operating income: 14 $M 2025 · Net income: -747 $M
2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Annual Figures
Fiscal Year Revenue ($M) EBIT ($M) Net Income ($M) EPS ($) Operating Cash Flow ($M) Equity ($M) Total Assets ($M)
2016 8,803 610 -491 -5.12 2,529 1,075 19,155
2017 8,803 411 327 3.45 2,394 1,520 20,058
2018 9,504 584 -225 -2.34 2,556 1,120 21,382
2019 9,779 759 -58 -0.50 2,900 1,769 24,627
2020 5,258 -892 -1,714 -11.43 953 56 16,908
2021 7,336 2,067 366 1.16 1,806 2,977 19,783
2022 8,685 2,075 2,059 5.11 2,538 2,645 22,497
2023 9,371 774 616 1.89 2,474 3,092 24,605
2024 9,049 -562 -2,862 -9.35 2,224 153 21,802
2025 8,504 14 -747 -2.32 1,625 -459 22,311

Quarters

Quarterly Figures

Each bar is one quarter, the last one is the most recent. Use the switch to step through the individual figures.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.

These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.

The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q2 · 2,353.0 $M Q2 2024: Q3 · 2,576.0 $M Q3 2024: Q4 · 2,040.0 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 1,813.0 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 2,185.0 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 2,478.0 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 2,028.0 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 2,004.0 $M Q1

Source: fundamental data

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q2 -1.44 -300.00 2,353 -3.40 -36.80 546 -3,203
2024: Q3 -4.34 -720.00 2,576 -4.70 -51.70 894 395
2024: Q4 -1.56 -14.70 2,040 -6.60 -23.50 414 82
2025: Q1 -1.12 12.50 1,813 -12.80 -24.40 251 -2,618
2025: Q2 -0.34 76.40 2,185 -7.10 -13.50 346 -2,725
2025: Q3 0.12 102.80 2,478 -3.80 7.40 835 626
2025: Q4 -0.63 59.60 2,028 -0.60 -9.60 193 -2,218
2026: Q1 -0.72 35.70 2,004 10.50 -16.60 20 -3,611

What Do These Terms Mean?

EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Compare with other stocks →

Screening

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 7 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Quality & Balance Sheet

Research

Risk & Weakness

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

Outlook

Analysts & Price Target

Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.

Consensus Hold 1 = Strong buy … 5 = Strong sell
Analyst Ratings 10
Price Target (average) 2.22$
Distance to price 16.8% The price target sits 16.8% above the current price.

Distribution of Recommendations

Strong Buy 0
Buy 0
Hold 6
Sell 4
Strong Sell 0

Estimates by Fiscal Year

Estimates by Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year EPS Estimate ($) EPS Range ($) Revenue Estimate ($M) Expected Growth Analysts
12/31/2026 -0.79 -0.97 – -0.62 9,181 61.2% 8
12/31/2027 -0.09 -0.33 – 0.75 9,551 88.8% 8

Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.

Valuation

What is priced in?

Free cash flow over the past twelve months is negative, which rules out a serious reverse calculation. Any growth rate only makes a negative cash flow more negative; no present value comes out of it. What the price reflects here is therefore not a stream of cash flows, but the expectation that there will be one at all.

A simplified model calculation — not a forecast and not a recommendation.

AI classification

AI Rating

Neutral

Autovermieter ohne KI-Umsatz: Die ausgewerteten Filings nennen KI nur als konditionale „may use/may incorporate“-Absicht und als Boilerplate-Risiko, ohne belegten operativen KI-Einsatz und ohne KI-Umsatzquelle.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„We may incorporate AI solutions into our business, and we may leverage AI, including generative AI, into our business operations."

Wir könnten KI-Lösungen in unser Geschäft integrieren und KI, einschließlich generativer KI, in unseren Geschäftsbetrieb einbinden.

10-K · 2026-02-26 · View SEC filing

„there are significant risks in using AI, and there can be no assurance that the use of AI will enhance our business or be beneficial to our business operations, including our efficiency or our profitability."

Der Einsatz von KI birgt erhebliche Risiken, und es kann nicht zugesichert werden, dass der Einsatz von KI unser Geschäft verbessert oder unserem Geschäftsbetrieb – einschließlich Effizienz oder Profitabilität – zugutekommt.

10-K · 2026-02-26 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 10-K 2026-02-26 · 10-Q 2026-05-08 · 10-K 2025-02-18

Rated on July 23, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Growth

Growth Score

Ten checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.

2 of 10 Weak growth
  • Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years -0.7%
  • More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year -68.8%
  • Share count grows by less than 3% a year -7.2%
  • Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") -107.8%
  • Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 11.4%
  • Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 4.7%
  • Net debt below twice EBITDA 7.2 x EBITDA
  • Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 9,316 m
  • Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago 0.1%
  • Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 1.3%

A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail

Quality check

AAQS

2/10

The AAQS (AlleAktien Quality Score) checks 10 quality criteria on growth, profitability, and balance-sheet strength — per the methodology developed and published by AlleAktien, calculated by us from our own fundamental data. A stock counts as a quality stock from 9 out of 10 points. Where a company has a shorter listing history, we calculate over the fiscal years available (at least five).

  • Sales growth 10Y > 5% -0.4%
  • Exp. sales growth 3Y > 5% 6.0%
  • EBIT growth 10Y > 5% -34.3%
  • Exp. EBIT growth 3Y > 5% 6.0%
  • Net debt < 4x EBIT 1,287.9x
  • EBIT positive, 10Y straight 8
  • Max. EBIT decline < 50% 100.0%
  • Return on equity > 15%
  • ROCE > 15% 0.1%
  • Expected return > 10% -1,626.1%

View stocks with the full AAQS score · Read the methodology at AlleAktien

Source: fundamental data

The company

About the Company

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.

Employees
26,000
Headquarters
Estero, FL
Address
8501 Williams Road, 33928 Estero, United States
Phone
239 301 7000
Website
hertz.com
IPO Date
07/01/2021
ISIN
US42806J7000
Stock Split
1151:1000 on 06/21/2019
Stock Split
1:5 on 07/01/2016

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Wayne Gilbert West CEO & Director 1961
Scott M. Haralson Executive VP & CFO 1973
Michael S. Moore COO & EVP 1966
Christopher G. Berg Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer 1979
Sandeep Dube Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer 1976
Mark Kosman Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer 1965
Piero Bussani EVP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary 1965
Lauren Fritts Senior VP & Chief Communications Officer 1983
Jyoti Chopra Executive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer 1964
Gregory A. May Executive Vice President of Fleet Management

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Filings

Company Filings (8-K)

An 8-K is the filing a US company must use to disclose material events immediately — takeovers, changes at the top, major contracts or payment troubles, for instance. The links open the original document at the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

  • 09/10/2026 HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ): Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers SEC ↗
  • 08/28/2026 HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ): Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant; Financial Statements and Exhibits SEC ↗
  • 08/20/2026 HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ): Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Financial Statements and Exhibits SEC ↗
  • 08/06/2026 HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ): Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements and Exhibits SEC ↗
  • 07/23/2026 HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC (HTZ): Other Events SEC ↗

Data as of: September 17, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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