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Buy Day today: Neutral (53) Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK)

Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
16.40 $
+0.2% vs. previous close
Closing price · As of: 31. Jul 2026
🔔 Watch stock

symbol.quality_heading

Substance risk

We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.

Whoever buys today is betting that guests return before falling same-restaurant sales catch up with the leveraged cash flow — and pays for an optically cheap stock whose firm value belongs mostly to the bondholders, not the shareholders. Whoever is in checks four things in every quarterly report (10-Q): do systemwide same-restaurant sales turn positive, or do guest counts keep falling? How does the remaining Class A-2 Notes balance develop (last $1.586 billion)? Does the continuing business stay profitable? And do the dividend or buybacks return — a signal that the coverage covenants leave room again? Until then this is a heavily indebted turnaround without an equity net, not a defensive consumer bet. The decision is yours.

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Read the Full Deep Dive
Jack in the Box Stock: The Familiar Drive-Thru Brand Runs on $1.6 Billion of Wall Street Debt — and Minus $922 Million in Equity

Jack in the Box (Nasdaq: JACK) out of San Diego is the burger chain everyone in the western U.S. has pulled up to: 2,136 restaurants, 93 percent of them franchised, an asset-light royalty business. But behind the everyday brand sits a Wall Street construction — about $1.6 billion of securitized debt and negative equity of $922 million that comes entirely from $3.2 billion of share buybacks, not from losses. Del Taco, acquired in 2022, was offloaded again in December 2025 for $115 million after roughly $372 million of write-downs. On Reddit the stock is only a whisper: 2 mentions in 24 hours (ApeWisdom, as of July 23, 2026). We read the annual reports (10-K) and the quarterly report (10-Q). Not investment advice — just a tape measure held against the gap between a familiar brand and a hard balance sheet.

Read the analysis

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of July 23, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at JACK since then.

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Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 10 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

Trading Day

Previous Close
16.30$
Open
16.40$
Day High
16.50$
Day Low
16.10$
Volume
597,494shares

Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.

52-Week Range

52-Week Low 52-Week High
9.40 $ 23.50 $
03/30/2026 01/15/2026

Current price 16.40 $ — 50% of the range above the low.

Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.

Basics

Market Cap
0.3$B
Shares Outstanding
19Mio.
Float
64.8%
Beta
1.4

Performance

Perf. 1M
24.80%
Perf. 3M
12.10%
Perf. 6M
-31.10%
YTD Performance (%)
-24.85%
52-Week-High Distance
-42.8%
Perf. 1Y
-16.90%
Perf. 3Y
-82.57%
Perf. 5Y
-83.38%
Perf. 10Y
-77.75%
Perf. Since Inception
163.93%

Technical Indicators

MA 38 Days
14.40$
MA 50 Days
13.80$
MA 200 Days
15.80$
RSI (14)
59.6
Volatility 30 Days
104.5%
Volatility 250 Days
76.5%

Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026

Valuation

P/E
Forward P/E
5.0
PEG
0.4
P/B
201.0
P/S
0.3
EV/EBITDA
755.8
Price/FCF
14.9

Profitability

Gross Margin
27.0%
EBIT Margin
13.5%
Net Margin
2.5%
Return on Equity
0.0%
Return on Assets
4.4%

Balance Sheet & Safety

very low
Equity Ratio
-36.2%
Debt/Equity
Altman Z″
1.45
Piotroski
4 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
-4.30%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
-73.60%
Sales Growth (Year)
-6.75%
Forward Sales Growth
-23.23%
Forward EPS Growth
8.00%

Dividend

This stock currently pays no dividend.

Quality & Screener

Stage
4
RS Rating
14
EPS Rating
8
Piotroski
4 out of 9
Fundamental Rating
D (29 out of 100)
Altman Z″
1.45

AI Rating

Neutral

Kein wesentlicher KI-Bezug in den ausgewerteten SEC-Filings: Der Geschäftsbericht 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 und der Quartalsbericht 10-Q zum 12. April 2026 enthalten keine belastbaren Treffer zu „artificial intelligence“, „machine learning“, „generative“ oder „LLM“ — die einzigen Fundstellen sind „business intelligence systems“ (Betriebsdaten-Auswertung, keine KI) und „artificial … trans fats“ (Zutaten, keine KI). Als franchise-lastige Schnellrestaurantkette (QSR) ist Jack in the Box weder KI-Umsatzquelle noch nennt sie KI als konkretes Geschäftsrisiko fürs eigene Modell; dokumentierter Negativ-Befund.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings

Filings Reviewed: 10-K 2025-11-19 · 10-K 2024-11-21 · 10-Q 2026-05-13 · 10-Q 2026-02-18

Rated on July 23, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Analysts & Price Target

Current Price 16.40 $
Price Target (average) 16.35 $

The price target sits 0.3% below the current price.

Consensus
Hold
Analyst Ratings
20
Distribution of Recommendations
Strong Buy 5
Buy 1
Hold 13
Sell 1
Strong Sell 0

Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.

Estimates by Fiscal Year

Estimates by Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year EPS Estimate ($) EPS Range ($) Revenue Estimate ($M) Expected Growth Analysts
09/30/2026 3.35 3.00 – 3.58 1,125 -24.4% 16
09/30/2027 3.61 3.04 – 3.97 1,129 7.5% 15

Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.

Next Reporting Date

12. Aug 2026 · after the close · Q2 2026
Expected Earnings per Share
0.90 $

Expected date of the next quarterly or annual figures. Dates do shift occasionally — only the invitation issued by the company is binding.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.

These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.

The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q2 · 369.2 $M Q2 2024: Q3 · 349.3 $M Q3 2024: Q4 · 469.4 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 336.7 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 333.0 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 326.2 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 349.5 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 254.3 $M Q1

Source: fundamental data

Compare with other stocks →

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q2 1.65 13.80 369 -7.00 -33.10 45 21
2024: Q3 1.16 6.40 349 -6.20 6.30 30 0
2024: Q4 1.92 -1.50 469 -3.70 7.20 106 71
2025: Q1 1.20 -17.80 337 -7.80 -42.20 -37 -58
2025: Q2 1.02 -38.20 333 -9.80 6.60 60 37
2025: Q3 0.30 -74.10 326 -6.60 1.80 34 16
2025: Q4 1.00 -47.90 350 -25.50 -0.70 19 -5
2026: Q1 0.76 -36.70 254 -24.50 4.00 -15 -27
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Annual Figures

Annual Figures
Fiscal Year Revenue ($M) EBIT ($M) Net Income ($M) EPS ($) Operating Cash Flow ($M) Equity ($M) Total Assets ($M)
2016 1,162 191 124 3.63 134 -217 1,345
2017 1,097 245 135 4.38 172 -388 1,235
2018 870 233 121 4.21 109 -592 823
2019 950 202 94 3.62 168 -738 958
2020 1,022 231 90 3.86 144 -793 1,906
2021 1,144 290 166 7.37 201 -818 1,750
2022 1,468 248 116 5.45 163 -736 2,923
2023 1,692 279 131 6.30 215 -718 3,001
2024 1,571 83 -37 -1.85 69 -852 2,736
2025 1,465 -18 -81 -4.21 162 -938 2,593

Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Business model & brand

A well-known burger chain with 2,136 restaurants (93 percent franchised) and a capital-light royalty, rent and advertising cash flow of about $838 million (FY2025). In FY2023 the company still earned $130.8 million of net income — the brand earnings power is real.

Operating trend

Revenue down three years running (1.69 → 1.57 → 1.47 billion), same-restaurant sales negative (JITB company minus 3.7 percent FY2025, minus 2.8 percent Q2 FY2026) — driven by 4 to 6 percent fewer guests at higher prices. That is a managing regime, not a growth one.

Balance sheet & leverage

About $1.6 billion of securitized debt (Class A-2 Notes) with restrictive covenants and roughly $79 million of interest a year; negative equity of $922 million (04/12/2026). The deficit stems from $3.2 billion of buybacks (retained earnings plus $1.78 billion), but there is no equity cushion left.

Capital allocation

Del Taco (bought 2022) written down by about $372 million and sold on 12/22/2025 for $115 million (a further $47.4 million loss on the sale); at the same time $3.2 billion poured into often expensively bought own shares. Two net-loss years, dividend cut, buybacks nearly halted.

Turnaround approach

After exiting Del Taco, the continuing business is profitable again in the first half of FY2026 (net income plus $26.9 million); the cash-preservation plan (dividend stop, throttled new builds, location cleanup) targets debt reduction. Whether it works depends on guests returning — open.

Bottom Line

Jack in the Box is the familiarity trap in its purest form: a well-known everyday brand up front with a real, capital-light franchise cash flow — a highly leveraged financial construction out back, with about $1.6 billion of securitized debt and negative equity of $922 million that stems entirely from $3.2 billion of share buybacks. Revenue has fallen three years running, same-restaurant sales are negative, and the last big capital decision — the 2022 Del Taco acquisition — ended, after about $372 million of write-downs, in a sale for $115 million. On the plus side: the cleaned-up core business is profitable again, the dividend is cut, and the focus is on debt reduction. Whoever buys is betting on guests returning before the leveraged cash flow shrinks. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • JACK reached our research list via the Reddit hype scanner (2 mentions in 24 hours, ApeWisdom, as of July 23, 2026) — unlike the momentum darlings of this series, Jack in the Box is an optically cheap, heavily indebted turnaround case, not a rally name.
  • Fiscal-year note: a 52/53-week year ending in late September (FY2025 ended 09/28/2025); the first quarter is 16 weeks, the others 12 each. Del Taco has been reported as discontinued operations since the sale on 12/22/2025 — revenue and earnings series are delineated accordingly.
  • Valuation figures are deliberately given as orders of magnitude and evergreen: metrics carry an annual, quarterly or data cut-off reference; daily prices are not a buy argument. Not to be confused: "JACK" (Jack in the Box) is not the Del Taco buyer Yadav Enterprises and is not the same as other QSR securitization issuers.

About the Company

Jack in the Box Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick-service restaurants (QSR) in the United States. It operates through Jack in the Box and Del Taco segments. The company engages in the operation of a hamburger chain under the Jack in the Box brand; and a Mexican-American QSR chain under the Del Taco brand. The company was formerly known as Foodmaker, Inc and changed its name to Jack in the Box Inc. in November 1999. Jack in the Box Inc. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Employees1,316
HeadquartersSan Diego, CA
Address9357 Spectrum Center Blvd., 92123 San Diego, United States
Phone858 571 2121
Websitejackinthebox.com
IPO Date24. Feb 1987
ISINUS4663671091
Stock Split2:1 on 10/16/2007

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Dawn E. Hooper Executive VP & CFO 1971
Sarah L. Super Executive VP and Chief Legal & Administrative Officer 1977
Carl Mount Advisor 1964
Mark James King Interim CEO & Executive Chairman 1960
Shannon McKinney Senior VP & COO
Richard D. Cook Senior VP & CTO 1973
Rachel Webb Senior Vice President of Finance, Investor Relations & Analytics
Katelyn Zborowski Senior VP & Chief Marketing Officer
Steven Piano Senior VP & Chief People Officer 1966
Van Ingram Senior VP & Chief Development Officer 1965

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Insider Transactions

Insider Transactions
Date Person Role Type Shares Price Value
21. Jul 2026 King Mark James Exec Chairman & Interim CEO Sell 5,626 14.70 82,702

Reportable transactions by officers and major shareholders from SEC Form 4 filings. "Other" includes things like stock grants and option exercises without a buy/sell character.

View all insider transactions →

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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