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Buy Day today: Good (62) Broad market participation · no major macro event
DECK

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories · listed since 1993

79.70$ +2.2% vs. previous close Closing price · As of: Sep 17, 2026
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Assessment

Our Rating

A journalistic assessment by our editorial team at the time of the deep dive — it rates the company, not the entry point. Not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell.

Quality confirmed delivers, sparse detail

Business model, numbers and balance sheet hold up to our review. Whether the current price supports an entry is a separate question — it hangs on the price, not on the company.

Why this colour

Quality confirmed: earning power and balance sheet carry the rating — a 41 percent return on equity, a 57.7 percent gross margin, $1.91 billion in cash and no drawn bank loans. Nothing in the 10-K points to a substance problem. What is open is growth quality, not solvency: U.S. revenue at zero growth, the HOKA staircase leading downward and tariff costs as a lucky bag press the earnings, not the equity base. A stabilizing home market or a 2026 holiday quarter confirming UGG demand would answer that. The rating says nothing about the entry price — that is what the metrics scanners answer. The decision is yours.

What the thesis turns on

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Deckers is the rare case in which the value signal survives the recalculation: a debt-free two-brand group with a record profit above the billion, a 41 percent return on equity and a P/E around 15 — net of cash, about twelve times earnings. But the discount has nameable reasons: the U.S. market stagnates at plus 0.2 percent, HOKA's growth staircase leads downward, UGG remains a question of fashion, and tariffs as well as sourcing clusters (Vietnam/Indonesia, two tanneries) make the crown-jewel gross margin vulnerable. The market is pricing in stagnation; any stabilization of the home market would be a positive surprise — any fashion turn at UGG or HOKA an expensive one. Not investment advice.

Brand strength & profitability

HOKA and UGG are global brands with genuine pricing power: 57.7 percent gross margin, 23.1 percent operating margin, 41 percent return on equity — earnings per share have more than doubled since fiscal year 2023, from $3.23 to $7.02 (10-K, fiscal year 2026).

Balance sheet & capital returns

$1.91 billion in cash, no drawn bank loans, goodwill of only $14 million; buybacks of $1.08 billion in fiscal year 2026 and an authorization topped up to about $4.84 billion (May 2026) — roughly a third of the market value. No dividend since the IPO.

Scanner signal & valuation

The Greenblatt hit survives the cross-check (return-on-capital approximation about 27.8 percent against a threshold of 25; P/E about 15), flanked by Levermann (4 points) and Buffett's owner-earnings yield. Net of the cash, the operating business costs about twelve times annual earnings (data as of July 8, 2026).

Growth quality & home market

U.S. revenue grew only 0.2 percent in fiscal year 2026 — all growth came from abroad (+26.8 percent). HOKA's growth staircase leads downward (27.9 → 23.6 → 15.9 percent), UGG grew only 4.9 percent in the holiday quarter; Stage 1 and a relative strength of 34 show the market has priced that in.

Concentration & tariff risks

Two brands carry 97.3 percent of revenue in an industry with a declared fashion risk; manufacturing concentrates on Vietnam and Indonesia, the UGG sheepskin on two tanneries in China. Tariffs have already pressed the gross margin, and per the 10-K the margin protection may not be repeatable in fiscal year 2027.

Worth Noting

Unlike the Kirby case (a data error), the Greenblatt hit here survives the cross-check against the 10-K figures; the calculation is disclosed in the text. The scanner row is documented in the screenshot (data as of July 8, 2026, confirmed live on July 14, 2026).

Deckers has an offset fiscal year (ending March 31): "fiscal year 2026" = April 2025 through March 2026. All balance-sheet and earnings figures come from the SEC filings (10-K, filed 22.05.2026; 10-Q as of 31.12.2025, filed 03.02.2026) and are dated in the text; valuation figures carry the data cut-off of July 8, 2026.

Analyst estimates ($7.49 and $8.33 in earnings per share for fiscal years 2027/2028) are consensus forecasts of 24 professionals, not facts — with consumer brands, estimates have historically been revised heavily after fashion turns.

Possible tariff refunds after the Supreme Court's IEEPA ruling are carried at zero in the books (as of 31.03.2026) — a potential but uncertain one-off effect; size and timing are open.

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of August 26, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at DECK since then.

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Price history

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

52-week range: 77.50 $ to 120.90 $ · Last price: 79.70 $ (As of: September 17, 2026)

Key figures

Key figures at a glance

Every figure we hold for this stock, grouped by topic. The question mark next to a label explains what the number means.

Basics

Market Cap ?The value of the entire company on the market: share price times total shares outstanding. 11.1$B
Shares Outstanding ?Total number of shares issued. Price times share count gives market cap. 136m
Float ?Share of stock freely tradable on the market — not locked up in the hands of founders, insiders, or major shareholders. 99.0%
Beta ?Volatility versus the overall market: 1 = moves like the market, 2 = twice as much, under 1 = calmer than the market. 1.2

Performance

Perf. 1M ?Price performance over the last month. -11.40%
Perf. 3M ?Price performance over the last 3 months. 7.70%
Perf. 6M ?Price performance over the last 6 months. 0.30%
YTD Performance (%) ?Price performance since the start of the year (Year to Date). 0.00%
52-Week-High Distance ?How far the price sits below its highest point over the last 52 weeks. 0% means the stock is at its year high. -18.9%
Perf. 1Y ?Price performance over the last 12 months. -32.84%
Perf. 3Y ?Price performance over the last 3 years. -8.53%
Perf. 5Y ?Price performance over the last 5 years. 9.95%
Perf. 10Y ?Price performance over the last 10 years. 688.68%
Perf. Since Inception ?Price performance since the first available trading day (10/15/1993) — with a complete history, that is since the IPO. 6,421.85%

Technical Indicators

MA 38 Days ?Moving average of the last 38 trading days: the smoothed price path. A price above it signals short-term strength. 90.20$
MA 50 Days ?Moving average of the last 50 trading days — the most widely watched medium-term trend line. 93.50$
MA 200 Days ?Moving average of the last 200 trading days — the dividing line between a long-term uptrend and downtrend. 102.40$
RSI (14) ?Relative Strength Index over 14 days, scale 0 to 100: above 70 counts as overbought, below 30 as oversold. A hint on timing, not a verdict on the company. 35.2
Volatility 30 Days ?Price swings over the last 30 trading days, annualized. The higher the value, the more the price fluctuates. 34.7%
Volatility 250 Days ?Price swings over the last 250 trading days (roughly one market year), annualized. 44.9%

Calculated from the price history · as of 09/18/2026

Valuation

P/E ?Price-to-earnings ratio: how many years of profit does the stock cost? The lower, the cheaper the valuation. No earnings means no P/E. 12.0
Forward P/E ?P/E based on expected earnings for the next 12 months instead of past earnings — analysts' bet on the future. 10.7
PEG ?P/E divided by expected earnings growth: puts valuation in relation to growth. Around 1 is considered fair, well above that is pricey. 1.0
P/B ?Price-to-book ratio: market value relative to book equity. 4.6
P/S ?Price-to-sales ratio: market value divided by annual sales. Important for companies that aren't (yet) profitable. 2.0
EV/EBITDA ?Enterprise value including debt (EV) relative to operating profit before depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) — more comparable than P/E because debt counts too. Extreme values arise when EBITDA is near zero. 7.1
Price/FCF ?Market value divided by free cash flow: how many years of freely available cash does the stock cost? More honest than P/E because cash flow is harder to dress up. 9.2

Profitability

Gross Margin ?Gross margin: what's left of sales after only direct production costs are deducted — the product's pricing power. 57.8%
EBIT Margin ?EBIT margin: operating profit as a percentage of sales — the earning power of the core business before interest and taxes. 14.0%
Net Margin ?Net margin: what's left of sales as profit after ALL costs, interest, and taxes. 18.4%
Return on Equity ?Return on equity: how much profit does the company generate per year on shareholders' equity? 40.9%
Return on Assets ?Return on assets: how much profit the company generates from its total assets (equity and debt combined). 20.3%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio ?Equity ratio: equity as a share of total assets. The higher, the more resilient the balance sheet. 67.8%
Debt/Equity ?Leverage ratio: financial debt divided by equity. Under 1 is generally seen as solid; negative values mean negative equity. 0.2
Altman Z″ ?Edward Altman's bankruptcy early-warning score. We use the Z″ variant, built from four balance-sheet ratios — it is designed for service companies and non-manufacturers and uses book value instead of market value. On that scale: below 1.1 = danger zone, 2.6 and up = safe zone, in between a grey area. Because the classic Altman Z is calculated differently, the two numbers are not directly comparable. The formula does not fit banks, insurers, or real-estate stocks. fortress balance sheet 13.51
Piotroski ?Balance-sheet health check by Joseph Piotroski: 9 yes/no criteria on profit, cash flow, leverage, and efficiency. 7+ is very solid, under 3 is a red flag. 4 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter ?Sales growth in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). 9.60%
EPS Growth Last Quarter ?Growth in earnings per share in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). -4.80%
Sales Growth (Year) ?Sales growth in the last fiscal year versus the year before. 9.40%
Forward Sales Growth ?Sales growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. 7.31%
Forward EPS Growth ?Earnings-per-share growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. 11.00%

Dividend

This stock currently pays no dividend.

Quality & Screener

Stage ?Weinstein phases 1 through 4: 1 = basing, 2 = uptrend (the only buy phase), 3 = topping, 4 = downtrend. Measured against the 30-week line. 1
RS Rating ?Relative strength from 1 to 99: an RS of 95 means the stock has outperformed 95% of all stocks. 34
EPS Rating ?Earnings growth rating from 1 to 99 versus all stocks — high values mean above-average earnings growth. 29
Fundamental Rating ?Our own Fundamental Rating: 0 to 100 points with an A+ to F grade. 50 points is the average across the universe, 100 the best possible score. It scores growth, earnings surprises, analyst estimates, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet safety — every stock percentile-ranked against all others. Grades: A+ from 95, A from 75, B from 55, C from 45, D from 25, E from 5, F below. B (57 out of 100)

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Comparison

Industry comparison

The stock alongside the largest companies in the same group. The median row is the middle value of the companies shown above — not of the whole industry.

Industry: Footwear & Accessories

Industry comparison
Company Market cap ($B) P/E EV/EBITDA Gross Margin % EBIT Margin % Sales Growth (Year) % Perf. 1Y %
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK 11.1 12.0 7.1 57.8 14.0 9.4 -32.8
Nike Inc NKE 53.9 24.0 12.4 43.3 6.9 -9.8 -49.2
On Holding Ltd ONON 9.2 30.1 11.1 64.8 14.1 24.2 -37.7
Crocs Inc CROX 6.2 7.4 57.5 22.2 -1.5 52.7
Birkenstock Holding plc BIRK 5.9 8.2 57.5 26.9 16.2 -31.7
Steven Madden Ltd SHOO 3.1 41.5 13.3 46.9 15.5 10.5 31.4
Wolverine World Wide Inc WWW 1.6 11.0 47.1 7.4 6.8 -35.5
Forward Industries, Inc. FWDI 0.5 20.8 70.6 18.8 -39.8 -83.9
Weyco Group Inc WEYS 0.4 6.8 49.1 -4.9 64.7
Median of companies shown 5.9 27.0 11.0 57.5 14.8 6.8 -32.8

Based on the most recently reported figures. Only stocks from the same trading venue are lined up, so the market caps are counted in one currency. Compare in a chart →

Fiscal years

Annual Figures

Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.

Revenue, operating income and net income per fiscal year $M

Revenue Operating income Net income

2017 · Revenue: 1,790 $M 2017 · Operating income: -2 $M 2017 · Net income: 6 $M 2018 · Revenue: 1,903 $M 2018 · Operating income: 223 $M 2018 · Net income: 114 $M 2019 · Revenue: 2,020 $M 2019 · Operating income: 327 $M 2019 · Net income: 264 $M 2020 · Revenue: 2,133 $M 2020 · Operating income: 338 $M 2020 · Net income: 276 $M 2021 · Revenue: 2,546 $M 2021 · Operating income: 504 $M 2021 · Net income: 383 $M 2022 · Revenue: 3,150 $M 2022 · Operating income: 565 $M 2022 · Net income: 452 $M 2023 · Revenue: 3,627 $M 2023 · Operating income: 653 $M 2023 · Net income: 517 $M 2024 · Revenue: 4,288 $M 2024 · Operating income: 928 $M 2024 · Net income: 760 $M 2025 · Revenue: 4,986 $M 2025 · Operating income: 1,179 $M 2025 · Net income: 966 $M 2026 · Revenue: 5,472 $M 2026 · Operating income: 1,263 $M 2026 · Net income: 1,024 $M
2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
Annual Figures
Fiscal Year Revenue ($M) EBIT ($M) Net Income ($M) EPS ($) Operating Cash Flow ($M) Equity ($M) Total Assets ($M)
2017 1,790 -2 6 0.03 199 954 1,192
2018 1,903 223 114 0.60 327 941 1,264
2019 2,020 327 264 1.47 360 1,045 1,427
2020 2,133 338 276 1.60 286 1,140 1,765
2021 2,546 504 383 2.24 596 1,444 2,168
2022 3,150 565 452 2.71 172 1,539 2,332
2023 3,627 653 517 3.23 537 1,766 2,556
2024 4,288 928 760 4.86 1,033 2,107 3,136
2025 4,986 1,179 966 6.33 1,045 2,513 3,633
2026 5,472 1,263 1,024 7.02 1,182 2,500 3,688

Quarters

Quarterly Figures

Each bar is one quarter, the last one is the most recent. Use the switch to step through the individual figures.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.

These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.

The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 1,827.2 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 1,021.8 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 964.5 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 1,430.8 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 1,957.5 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 1,114.2 $M Q1 2026: Q2 · 1,019.5 $M Q2

Source: fundamental data

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 3.00 19.00 1,827 17.10 25.00 1,095 1,071
2025: Q1 0.99 20.30 1,022 6.50 14.80 -73 -89
2025: Q2 0.93 23.50 965 16.90 14.40 36 12
2025: Q3 1.80 13.70 1,431 9.10 18.70 8 -14
2025: Q4 3.27 9.10 1,958 7.10 24.60 1,042 1,020
2026: Q1 0.96 -3.40 1,114 9.00 12.20 96 163
2026: Q2 0.94 1.10 1,020 5.70 12.80 48 33

What Do These Terms Mean?

EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Compare with other stocks →

Screening

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 11 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Backtested Scanners

Best Hits

Quality & Balance Sheet

Momentum & Trend

Research

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. View all scanners

Outlook

Analysts & Price Target

Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.

Consensus Sell 1 = Strong buy … 5 = Strong sell
Analyst Ratings 24
Price Target (average) 120.41$
Distance to price 51.1% The price target sits 51.1% above the current price.

Distribution of Recommendations

Strong Buy 8
Buy 4
Hold 12
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Estimates by Fiscal Year

Estimates by Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year EPS Estimate ($) EPS Range ($) Revenue Estimate ($M) Expected Growth Analysts
03/31/2027 7.51 7.18 – 7.99 5,879 7.1% 22
03/31/2028 8.35 7.39 – 9.45 6,303 10.7% 22

Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.

Valuation

What is priced in?

Instead of guessing what the stock is worth, we turn the question around: what free cash flow growth has to happen for today’s market value to add up? The assumptions behind it can be moved.

Today’s market value implies roughly -3.0% growth in free cash flow per year over ten years (assumptions: discount rate 10.0%, terminal growth 2.5%).

What is priced in?
Free cash flow (last twelve months) $1.20B
Market cap $11.07B
Free cash flow in year ten $884.1M
Terminal value as a share of market value 42.1%

For comparison: over the past five years free cash flow grew by 14.2% per year.

It shows which assumption is built into today’s price, not whether that assumption will hold. Every assumption can be changed with the sliders; the figures move with them.

A simplified model calculation — not a forecast and not a recommendation.

AI classification

AI Rating

Uses AI

Geprüft am 14.07.2026 gegen den Geschäftsbericht (10-K) für das Geschäftsjahr 2026 (eingereicht 22.05.2026), den 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 (23.05.2025) und die vier jüngsten Quartalsberichte (10-Q, zuletzt 03.02.2026): Deckers Outdoor verkauft keine KI-Produkte — das Geschäft sind Schuhe, Bekleidung und Accessoires der Marken HOKA, UGG und Teva. Die Berichte belegen aber einen zunehmenden operativen KI-Einsatz: Der 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2026 widmet den Risiken aus der eigenen KI-Nutzung einen eigenen Risikofaktor und hält fest, dass das Unternehmen und seine Dienstleister KI, Datenanalyse und maschinelles Lernen zunehmend über das gesamte Geschäft hinweg einsetzen (operative und IT-Systeme, digitale Plattformen, Geschäftsprozesse). Der 10-K für das Geschäftsjahr 2025 beschreibt KI-gestützte Systeme (einschließlich generativer KI) in der Datensicherheit, und im Wettbewerbskapitel nennt Deckers die Nutzung von Datenanalyse und KI als Wettbewerbsfaktor der Branche. Eine konkrete Bedrohung des eigenen Geschäftsmodells durch KI beschreiben die Filings nicht; die vier 10-Q enthalten neben einer Boilerplate-Zeile zu Technologie-Fortschritten keine substanziellen KI-Aussagen. Nach dem Kriterienkatalog: „Nutzt KI".

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„We and our third-party service providers are increasingly using AI, data analytics, and machine learning technologies across our business, including operational and IT systems, digital platforms, and certain business processes."

Wir und unsere externen Dienstleister setzen zunehmend KI, Datenanalyse- und Machine-Learning-Technologien in unserem gesamten Geschäft ein — einschließlich operativer und IT-Systeme, digitaler Plattformen und bestimmter Geschäftsprozesse.

10-K · 2026-05-22 · View SEC filing

„As a result, we believe our future success and growth depends, in part, on the ability of our systems, including those utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) such as generative AI, to prevent the theft, loss, misuse, or unauthorized access of this information, and to respond quickly and effectively if data security incidents occur."

Wir sind daher überzeugt, dass unser künftiger Erfolg und unser Wachstum zum Teil von der Fähigkeit unserer Systeme abhängen — einschließlich derjenigen, die Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) wie generative KI nutzen —, Diebstahl, Verlust, Missbrauch oder unbefugten Zugriff auf diese Informationen zu verhindern und bei Datensicherheitsvorfällen schnell und wirksam zu reagieren.

10-K · 2025-05-23 · View SEC filing

„Competition in our markets is influenced by factors such as brand recognition, product innovation and performance, pricing, speed‑to‑market, marketing effectiveness, use of data analytics and AI, access to manufacturing capacity, and control of distribution channels."

Der Wettbewerb in unseren Märkten wird von Faktoren beeinflusst wie Markenbekanntheit, Produktinnovation und -leistung, Preisgestaltung, Markteinführungsgeschwindigkeit, Marketing-Wirksamkeit, dem Einsatz von Datenanalyse und KI, dem Zugang zu Fertigungskapazitäten und der Kontrolle über Vertriebskanäle.

10-K · 2026-05-22 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 10-Q 2026-02-03 · 10-Q 2025-10-31 · 10-Q 2025-07-31 · 10-Q 2025-02-03 · 10-K 2026-05-22 · 10-K 2025-05-23

Rated on July 14, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Earnings calls

What the Earnings Calls Reveal

Across the ten transcripts reviewed, from fiscal 2024-Q4 to fiscal 2027-Q1, Deckers met or beat every guidance figure it issued — annual and quarterly, on revenue, gross margin and earnings per share. CFO Steve Fasching conceded on the fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter call that the company is seen as a conservative guider. Checking the transcripts line by line confirmed no broken commitment: the only dated pledge — an update on the Koolaburra wind-down — was expressly tied to fiscal 2026 annual guidance, and that guidance was withheld entirely on the May call because of US tariff uncertainty. What remains is thin detail: store counts, store sales and order-book size are not quantified under an openly stated company practice, and the smaller brands were wound down as a block rather than explained one by one. No financial target was missed, so the rating stays unremarkable.

Unremarkable delivers, sparse detail 10 calls reviewed, 2024-Q4 through 2027-Q1 · As of August 2, 2026

Guidance met or beaten ten quarters running

The fiscal 2025 guidance issued on the 2024-Q4 call called for roughly 10 percent revenue growth to 4.7 billion dollars, a 53.5 percent gross margin and earnings per share of 29.50 to 30.00 dollars. The 2025-Q4 call reported 16 percent growth to 4.99 billion dollars, a 57.9 percent gross margin and earnings per share more than a quarter above the original top end, with the outlook raised on every interim call (2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3). The same pattern repeated: 890 to 910 million dollars of quarterly revenue guided (2025-Q4), 965 million delivered (2026-Q1); a 53.5 to 54 percent gross margin guided (2026-Q1), 56.2 percent delivered (2026-Q2); 5.35 billion dollars of annual revenue and 6.30 to 6.39 dollars of EPS guided (2026-Q2), 5.47 billion and 7.02 dollars delivered (2026-Q4). Fiscal 2027 started the same way, with 0.94 dollars against a 0.82 to 0.87 dollar range. Asked whether the new multi-year framework was set conservatively too, Fasching gave a two-part answer on the 2026-Q4 call: 'we have been viewed as conservative guiders' — but he would not call the framework through fiscal 2030 a conservative guide, saying the company is leaning in more than in the past. The practical read: when this management lowers an expectation — HOKA from mid-teens to low teens on the 2026-Q2 call — it tends to mean caution rather than deterioration; HOKA finished fiscal 2026 up 16 percent.

The 50-50 channel goal has no date

The goal of a 50-50 split between direct-to-consumer and wholesale appears almost verbatim on the 2025-Q1, 2025-Q4 and 2026-Q2 calls — without a target date being named on any of the ten calls. The obvious charge, that the company quietly reversed its door plan, does not survive checking: on the 2025-Q3 call Caroti announced 'a few more doors, especially internationally' and Fasching specified 'continued expansion, not the extent this year that you saw last year' — which is what happened, as the 2026-Q2 call confirms ('last year was a big year of wholesale expansion ... some additional wholesale expansion this year, but that will begin to slow'). That wholesale still grew faster in fiscal 2026, per the 2026-Q4 call — HOKA 18 percent against 12 percent in DTC, UGG 13 against 4 — was explained by the carry-over of doors opened the year before and by shoppers wanting to try the new models in store, framed explicitly as 'this is not a change in our strategy' (2025-Q4). The sober point stands: the mix moved away from the stated goal for two years before the fiscal 2027 plan reversed direction, with 2027-Q1 delivering 13 percent DTC growth against slower wholesale.

Smaller brands wound down as a block

On the 2025-Q3 call CEO Stefano Caroti announced the wind-down of the Koolaburra brand and pledged: 'We will provide a more complete update on this forthcoming change during our earnings call in May as part of our forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2026'. The May call, 2025-Q4, indeed never mentions the brand — but that call also withheld fiscal 2026 annual guidance entirely, the very vehicle the update was tied to, with tariff uncertainty set out at length as the reason on the same call. The condition attached to the pledge therefore never occurred. The substance arrived late but verifiably: on the 2026-Q3 call Fasching attributes the decline in the remaining brands explicitly to the Koolaburra phase-out and points to the breakout in the press release, and the 2027-Q1 call quantifies the expected decline of those brands at about 50 percent. Communication on the individual side brands stays thin: Teva is last named on 2025-Q3, Ahnu only on 2025-Q1, and from 2026-Q2 the shrinkage appears only as 'winding down stand-alone operations of smaller brands'. HOKA apparel, called a 'key priority' on the 2025-Q1 call, still has neither a named product nor a figure by 2027-Q1, yet it did not vanish: it is listed as one of five growth categories on the 2026-Q2, 2026-Q4 and 2027-Q1 calls — with the caveat that, per Caroti on 2026-Q4, the multi-year framework contains no new categories.

Store count and order book stay unquantified

On three topics the company consistently declines: the number of its own HOKA stores and the run-specialty share of wholesale (2025-Q3), the size of the order book (2026-Q2 and 2026-Q4), and retail store sales versus e-commerce (2026-Q1). The reason given is always the same openly stated company practice, applied consistently. The most persistent exchange came on the 2026-Q1 call: the same analyst asked three times how the owned stores compared with e-commerce; Fasching declined and Caroti offered only that retail performed significantly better. For balance: the analyst himself twice called the figure immaterial, and management described its own store base as very small — the DTC weakness was explained by consumers buying in wholesale doors, not in Deckers stores. There is no blanket refusal to inform: on the 2025-Q1 call Caroti named the new wholesale partners outright (DSG, JD, Intersport, Foot Locker, Top Sport, Sport Chek) and Erinn Kohler gave wholesale revenue by brand to the dollar, while the 2027-Q1 call does not contain the word 'door' at all. From the 2026-Q3 call the company also discloses channel penetration ratios (quantified on 2026-Q4: US sporting goods 50 percent, athletic specialty 25 percent), and margin bridges are routinely broken out in basis points (2025-Q3, 2027-Q1).

Guidance suspended for two quarters, tariff estimate swung widely, tone more open

Because of US trade policy, Deckers withheld full-year guidance entirely on the 2025-Q4 and 2026-Q1 calls, offering only a framework plus quarterly outlooks; annual guidance returned on the 2026-Q2 call. The estimated unmitigated tariff burden ran from up to 150 million dollars (2025-Q4) to 185 million (2026-Q1), back to about 150 million (2026-Q2), then down to about 110 million (2026-Q3); the 2026-Q4 call put the amount actually paid at about 120 million, with refunds applied for and deliberately excluded from guidance. Every revision came with a stated cause. The tonal shift in between is notable: on the 2026-Q1 call management for the first time spoke of its own 'execution challenges' and changed product life cycles, and on the 2026-Q2 call Caroti openly called it a learning year because too many major launches had been bunched into the first half. From the 2026-Q3 call the record-setting language returns, and on the 2026-Q4 call the company published a multi-year framework through fiscal 2030 for the first time. The quarterly outlooks given since 2025-Q4 are expressly framed as an exception ('While it is not our practice to provide quarterly guidance ... In light of the current environment') and were justified again each later time (2026-Q1: 'elevated macro uncertainty'; 2027-Q1: 'unique operational timing dynamics'); the 2026-Q2 call gave no quarterly outlook at all and the 2026-Q3 call only fourth-quarter assumptions inside its annual guidance.

Management promises

  • 2024-Q4 — Fiscal 2025: about 10 percent revenue growth to 4.7 billion dollars, HOKA up about 20 percent, EPS of 29.50 to 30.00 dollars. Comfortably beaten: 16 percent growth to 4.99 billion dollars, HOKA up 24 percent, EPS roughly a quarter above the top end (2025-Q4 call). kept
  • 2025-Q1 — Long term, direct-to-consumer is to reach about 50 percent of company revenue; the goal is restated on the 2025-Q4 and 2026-Q2 calls. No target date. In fiscal 2026 wholesale outgrew DTC at both brands, moving the mix away from the goal; the fiscal 2027 plan reverses direction and 2027-Q1 delivered 13 percent DTC growth. open
  • 2025-Q3 — A complete update on the Koolaburra wind-down would be given on the May call — expressly 'as part of our forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2026'. The May call (2025-Q4) does not mention the brand, but it also withheld fiscal 2026 annual guidance entirely — the condition attached to the pledge never occurred, and the reason (US tariffs) was set out on that same call. Delivered later: the 2026-Q3 call attributes the decline in the remaining brands to Koolaburra and the 2027-Q1 call puts it at about minus 50 percent. Not provable as a breach, merely late. open
  • 2025-Q4 — About half of the tariff burden of up to 150 million dollars would be recaptured through price increases and cost sharing with suppliers. Beaten: the 2026-Q2 call cites 75 to 95 million dollars of mitigation and the 2026-Q3 call only about 25 million dollars of net impact. Price rises effective 1 July 2025 caused no order-book changes per the 2026-Q1 and 2026-Q2 calls. kept
  • 2025-Q4 — The weakness in HOKA US direct-to-consumer would improve after the first quarter of fiscal 2026. The recovery arrived step by step as signalled: HOKA DTC up 8 percent on the 2026-Q2 call, up 19 percent with the US explicitly back to growth on 2026-Q3, and up 18 percent on 2026-Q4. kept
  • 2026-Q2 — Fiscal 2026: about 5.35 billion dollars of revenue, gross margin of about 56 percent, EPS of 6.30 to 6.39 dollars. Beaten: 5.47 billion dollars, a 57.7 percent gross margin and 7.02 dollars of EPS (2026-Q4 call), above even the raised guidance from the 2026-Q3 call. kept
  • 2026-Q4 — Fiscal 2027: revenue of 5.86 to 5.91 billion dollars and EPS of 7.30 to 7.45 dollars; a multi-year framework to fiscal 2030 with high single-digit revenue growth and low double-digit EPS growth. First checkpoint passed: the 2027-Q1 call reported 0.94 dollars against the quarterly range and raised full-year EPS guidance to 7.35 to 7.50 dollars, even as the assumed tariff rate rose from 10 to 12.5 percent. open

Based on public earnings call transcripts. Reviewed: 10 transcripts 2024-Q4 through 2027-Q1.

Growth

Growth Score

Ten checks against the annual reports — each one passed counts a point.

6 of 10 Solid growth
  • Revenue grows by more than 15% a year over three years 14.7%
  • More than 10% revenue growth is expected for the coming year 7.3%
  • Share count grows by less than 3% a year -3.1%
  • Revenue growth plus cash-flow margin add up to at least 40 ("Rule of 40") 29.8%
  • Gross margin at 40% or higher and without meaningful erosion 57.7%
  • Goodwill from acquisitions does not grow faster than revenue 0.4%
  • Net debt below twice EBITDA 1,532 m net cash
  • Operating cash flow covers the profits of the last three years 510 m
  • Return on capital at 15% or higher, or up versus two years ago 43.8%
  • Insiders hold at least 10% or are net buyers 0.6%

A criterion without figures counts neither as passed nor as failed; a score is only produced from 7 judgeable criteria upwards. Source: fundamental data. All ten criteria in detail

Quality check

AAQS

8/10

The AAQS (AlleAktien Quality Score) checks 10 quality criteria on growth, profitability, and balance-sheet strength — per the methodology developed and published by AlleAktien, calculated by us from our own fundamental data. A stock counts as a quality stock from 9 out of 10 points. Where a company has a shorter listing history, we calculate over the fiscal years available (at least five).

  • Sales growth 10Y > 5% 13.2%
  • Exp. sales growth 3Y > 5% 7.3%
  • EBIT growth 10Y > 5%
  • Exp. EBIT growth 3Y > 5% 9.0%
  • Net debt < 4x EBIT -1.2x
  • EBIT positive, 10Y straight 9
  • Max. EBIT decline < 50% 0.0%
  • Return on equity > 15% 41.5%
  • ROCE > 15% 43.8%
  • Expected return > 10% 19.8%

View stocks with the full AAQS score · Read the methodology at AlleAktien

Source: fundamental data

Insiders

Insider Transactions

Reportable transactions by officers and major shareholders from SEC Form 4 filings. "Other" includes things like stock grants and option exercises without a buy/sell character.

Insider Transactions
Date Person Role Type Shares Price Value
Sep 1, 2026 Figuereo Juan R Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Grismer Patrick J Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Burwick David A Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Ibrahim Maha Saleh Director Other 816 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Luis Victor Director Other 914 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Stewart Bonita C. Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Shanahan Lauri M Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Chan Nelson Director Other 535 0.00
Sep 1, 2026 Davis Cindy L Director Other 535 0.00
Aug 17, 2026 Ellerker Marco President, Global Marketplace Other 16,162 0.00

View all insider transactions →

The company

About the Company

Deckers Outdoor Corporation entwirft, vermarktet und vertreibt mit ihren Tochtergesellschaften Schuhe, Bekleidung und Accessoires für den Freizeit-Lifestyle und Hochleistungsaktivitäten in den USA und international. Das Unternehmen bietet Schuhe, Bekleidung und Accessoires unter Marken wie UGG an.

Employees
6,000
Headquarters
Goleta, CA
Address
250 Coromar Drive, 93117 Goleta, United States
Phone
805 967 7611
IPO Date
10/14/1993
ISIN
US2435371073
Stock Split
6:1 on 09/17/2024
Stock Split
3:1 on 07/06/2010

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Stefano Caroti CEO, President & Director 1963
Steven J. Fasching Chief Financial Officer 1968
Thomas Garcia J.D. Chief Administrative & Legal Officer 1973
Anne Spangenberg President of UGG 1969
Robin Spring-Green President of HOKA 1976
Erinn Kohler Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Planning
Angela Ogbechie Chief Supply Chain Officer 1978
Marco Ellerker President of Global Marketplace 1967
Joel Ankarberg Chief Digital & Data Officer
Melissa Gallagher Chief People Experience Officer

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Filings

Company Filings (8-K)

An 8-K is the filing a US company must use to disclose material events immediately — takeovers, changes at the top, major contracts or payment troubles, for instance. The links open the original document at the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

  • 09/15/2026 DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK): Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders SEC ↗
  • 08/28/2026 DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK): Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant; Financial Statements and Exhibits SEC ↗
  • 07/23/2026 DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP (DECK): Results of Operations and Financial Condition SEC ↗

Data as of: September 17, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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