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Buy Day today: Neutral (47) Mixed market breadth · no major macro event
ARU.TO

Aurania Resources Ltd

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

0.185C$ -2.6% vs. previous close Closing price · As of: Oct 8, 2026
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Assessment

Our Rating

A journalistic assessment by our editorial team at the time of the deep dive — it rates the company, not the entry point. Not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell.

Substance risk

We found at least one documented issue that threatens the company itself — regardless of how the stock is currently valued.

Why this colour

Red here does not reflect Keith Barron or the European projects but documented substance risks in the company’s own statements: equity is negative at minus C$42.5 million, the auditor flags material uncertainties about the going concern, cash of C$0.92 million covered a little more than one quarter at the first-half 2026 burn rate, and the Ecuador concessions are not in good standing because of unpaid fees. If the TASA falls away retroactively, the balance sheet improves sharply but stays negative.

What the thesis turns on

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

Aurania Resources is an explorer with no revenue, led by Keith Barron, whose former company discovered Fruta del Norte. The stock hinges above all on a regulator in Quito: if the 2025 levy does not apply, Aurania would reverse C$24.9 million of liabilities, more than half of the total. Beyond that, the Iceland drill results and the next financing matter. At the C$0.185 close on October 7, 2026, Aurania is valued at about C$26 million. Not investment advice.

TASA mining levy

For 2025, the balance sheet at June 30, 2026, carries C$24.9 million including interest and penalties — almost the entire market value. Explorers are exempt from 2026 on; whether retroactively is open.

Ecuador concessions

Fees for 2025 (33 of 42 concessions) and 2026 are unpaid, and per the MD&A the concessions are not in good standing. All work in Ecuador has been suspended since 2025.

Financial position

Cash of C$0.92 million, liabilities of C$44.0 million and equity of minus C$42.5 million at June 30, 2026; the auditor flags material uncertainties about the going concern.

Keith Barron’s role

A stake of about 45 percent and loans carried at C$11.74 million keep the company going. At the same time, the top job, the lender position and a 2 percent royalty are concentrated in one person.

New projects in Europe

Three permits in Brittany (five lawsuits pending), an option in Iceland with drilling underway since September 8, 2026, an evaluation in Italy. There is no resource estimate anywhere yet.

Dilution and transparency

Shares outstanding rose from 58.2 million (end of 2022) to 140.2 million (August 26, 2026). Since April 2026, Aurania reports only semi-annually.

Worth Noting

This analysis was prompted by the U.S. OTCQB ticker AUIAF on the forum ranking of the German investor site wallstreet-online (as of October 8, 2026); we list the company under its home listing ARU (TSX Venture Exchange) as ARU.TO. There is no hit from our in-house stock screener, and there cannot be one: the company has neither revenue nor earnings.

Aurania is not an SEC periodic filer (CIK 0001568183, Form D only from 2013, 2021 and 2024). All company figures come from the Canadian mandatory filings: 2025 consolidated statements (auditor McGovern Hurley LLP), interim statements and MD&A as of June 30, 2026, the 2025 and 2023 MD&A, the 2025 Annual Information Form and news releases through October 1, 2026. There are no earnings call transcripts.

Calculated values are our estimates: market value from 140,227,593 shares times the October 7, 2026, close (C$0.185); enterprise value from market value plus liabilities of C$44.03M minus cash of C$0.92M; equity without the TASA from −42.54 plus 24.93 (C$M); cash runway from first-half 2026 operating outflows.

The TASA and the concession fees are denominated in U.S. dollars; Canadian-dollar amounts follow the company’s June 30, 2026, conversion rate (1.4210). The end-2022 share count comes from the 2023 MD&A (Share Data section).

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of October 8, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at ARU.TO since then.

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Price history

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Last price: 0.185 C$ (As of: October 8, 2026)

Key figures

Key figures at a glance

Every figure we hold for this stock, grouped by topic. The question mark next to a label explains what the number means.

Basics

Market Cap ?The value of the entire company on the market: share price times total shares outstanding. 0.03C$B
Shares Outstanding ?Total number of shares issued. Price times share count gives market cap. –
Float ?Share of stock freely tradable on the market — not locked up in the hands of founders, insiders, or major shareholders. –
Beta ?Volatility versus the overall market: 1 = moves like the market, 2 = twice as much, under 1 = calmer than the market. –

Performance

Perf. 1M ?Price performance over the last month. -2.60%
Perf. 3M ?Price performance over the last 3 months. -19.60%
Perf. 6M ?Price performance over the last 6 months. 2.80%
YTD Performance (%) ?Price performance since the start of the year (Year to Date). 12.12%
52-Week-High Distance ?How far the price sits below its highest point over the last 52 weeks. 0% means the stock is at its year high. -48.6%

Valuation

P/E ?Price-to-earnings ratio: how many years of profit does the stock cost? The lower, the cheaper the valuation. No earnings means no P/E. –
Forward P/E ?P/E based on expected earnings for the next 12 months instead of past earnings — analysts' bet on the future. –
PEG ?P/E divided by expected earnings growth: puts valuation in relation to growth. Around 1 is considered fair, well above that is pricey. –
P/B ?Price-to-book ratio: market value relative to book equity. 38.6
P/S ?Price-to-sales ratio: market value divided by annual sales. Important for companies that aren't (yet) profitable. –
EV/EBITDA ?Enterprise value including debt (EV) relative to operating profit before depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) — more comparable than P/E because debt counts too. Extreme values arise when EBITDA is near zero. –
Price/FCF ?Market value divided by free cash flow: how many years of freely available cash does the stock cost? More honest than P/E because cash flow is harder to dress up. –

Profitability

Gross Margin ?Gross margin: what's left of sales after only direct production costs are deducted — the product's pricing power. –
EBIT Margin ?EBIT margin: operating profit as a percentage of sales — the earning power of the core business before interest and taxes. 0.0%
Net Margin ?Net margin: what's left of sales as profit after ALL costs, interest, and taxes. –
Return on Equity ?Return on equity: how much profit does the company generate per year on shareholders' equity? -1,486.5%
Return on Assets ?Return on assets: how much profit the company generates from its total assets (equity and debt combined). –

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio ?Equity ratio: equity as a share of total assets. The higher, the more resilient the balance sheet. very low -4,076.2%
Debt/Equity ?Leverage ratio: financial debt divided by equity. Under 1 is generally seen as solid; negative values mean negative equity. –
Altman Z″ ?Edward Altman's bankruptcy early-warning score. We use the Z″ variant, built from four balance-sheet ratios — it is designed for service companies and non-manufacturers and uses book value instead of market value. On that scale: below 1.1 = danger zone, 2.6 and up = safe zone, in between a grey area. Because the classic Altman Z is calculated differently, the two numbers are not directly comparable. The formula does not fit banks, insurers, or real-estate stocks. warning zone -386.13
Piotroski ?Balance-sheet health check by Joseph Piotroski: 9 yes/no criteria on profit, cash flow, leverage, and efficiency. 7+ is very solid, under 3 is a red flag. 1 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter ?Sales growth in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). 0.00%
EPS Growth Last Quarter ?Growth in earnings per share in the most recently reported quarter versus the same quarter a year ago (YoY). 0.00%
Sales Growth (Year) ?Sales growth in the last fiscal year versus the year before. –
Forward Sales Growth ?Sales growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. –
Forward EPS Growth ?Earnings-per-share growth analysts expect over the next 12 months — an estimate, not a guarantee. –

Dividend

No dividend data is available for this stock yet.

Quality & Screener

Stage ?Weinstein phases 1 through 4: 1 = basing, 2 = uptrend (the only buy phase), 3 = topping, 4 = downtrend. Measured against the 30-week line. –
RS Rating ?Relative strength from 1 to 99: an RS of 95 means the stock has outperformed 95% of all stocks. –
EPS Rating ?Earnings growth rating from 1 to 99 versus all stocks — high values mean above-average earnings growth. –
Fundamental Rating ?Our own Fundamental Rating: 0 to 100 points with an A+ to F grade. 50 points is the average across the universe, 100 the best possible score. It scores growth, earnings surprises, analyst estimates, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet safety — every stock percentile-ranked against all others. Grades: A+ from 95, A from 75, B from 55, C from 45, D from 25, E from 5, F below. E (22 out of 100)

Highlighted are things our editorial team noticed: green = stands out as strong, red = deserves a closer look. No single metric is a verdict on its own — always read it in context.

Quarters

Quarterly Figures

Each bar is one quarter, the last one is the most recent. Use the switch to step through the individual figures.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.

These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.

The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter (C$M)
2024: Q2 · 0.0 C$M Q2 2024: Q3 · 0.0 C$M Q3 2024: Q4 · 0.0 C$M Q4 2025: Q1 · 0.0 C$M Q1 2025: Q2 · 0.0 C$M Q2 2025: Q3 · 0.0 C$M Q3 2025: Q4 · 0.0 C$M Q4 2026: Q2 · 0.0 C$M Q2

Source: fundamental data

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales (C$M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF (C$M) FCF (C$M)
2024: Q2 0.02 200.00 0 – – -1 -1
2024: Q3 -0.01 66.70 0 – – -1 -1
2024: Q4 -0.03 -50.00 0 – – -2 -2
2025: Q1 -0.05 28.60 0 – – -1 -1
2025: Q2 -0.01 -150.00 0 – – -4 -4
2025: Q3 -0.04 -300.00 0 – – -2 -2
2025: Q4 -0.16 -433.30 0 – – -1 -1
2026: Q2 -0.04 -300.00 0 – – – –

What Do These Terms Mean?

EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Compare with other stocks →

Screening

Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 3 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Growth

Research

Risk & Weakness

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

AI classification

AI Rating

Not yet rated — we only show a category once an SEC-backed file with at least two cited passages is available.

How the Rating Is Built

The company

About the Company

Aurania Resources Ltd. ist ein Junior-Explorationsunternehmen mit Sitz in Toronto, gegründet nach dem Recht von Bermuda. Es hält 42 Explorationskonzessionen im Projekt Lost Cities – Cutucú im Südosten Ecuadors (rund 206.000 Hektar), drei Explorationsgenehmigungen in der Bretagne (Frankreich) und eine Option auf bis zu 70 Prozent am Goldprojekt Thormodsdalur in Island; außerdem prüft es die Aufbereitung nickel- und kobalthaltiger Rückstände der früheren Asbestmine Balangero (Italien).

ISIN
BMG069741020

Data as of: October 8, 2026 · symbol.source_foreign

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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