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Buy Day today: Neutral (53) Mixed market breadth · no major macro event

Xp Inc (XP)

Financial Services Capital Markets
17.10 $
-0.8% vs. previous close
Closing price · As of: 31. Jul 2026
🔔 Watch stock

symbol.quality_heading

Open questions

The business works in principle, but one material question is open. As long as it stays open, our findings do not carry a quality verdict.

The core business holds up: revenue of R$18,399 million and net income of R$5,169 million in 2025, a net margin of 28.1 percent, R$1,491 billion in client assets under custody and 4.76 million active clients. Nothing supports red: no loss, no going-concern doubt, no regulatory question, no filing backlog. Three things rule out green. First, momentum: net inflow fell for a second year to R$94.3 billion and the take rate from 1.29 to 1.25 percent — client assets grew about 16 percent while revenue grew only 8 percent. Second, voice: Class B shares carry ten votes and 71.09 percent of the voting power sits with 13 people; outside shareholders decide nothing on a takeover, a capital increase or the dividend. Third, currency and country risk: the business earns reais while the share is quoted in dollars, so a weaker real depresses any dollar result regardless of operating performance. And the hook on our own list does not hold: the displayed ratio of 0.6 is a currency error, about 3.0 when calculated cleanly.

symbol.quality_note

Read the Full Deep Dive
XP Inc.: The Cheapest Number on Our List Is Wrong Twice

XP ranks 10th in the U.S. selection of our in-house stock scanner, at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 0.6. That would be dirt cheap if the number were right. It is not: it divides a market capitalization in U.S. dollars by a cash flow in Brazilian reais. Put both in the same currency and the ratio is about 3.0. And even then the metric does not hold, because the money flowing through it belongs to clients. We walk through every step so you can check it yourself.

Read the analysis

Stock Watch

This analysis is as of July 27, 2026. Stock Watch will tell you what's changed at XP since then.

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Appears in These Scanners

This stock currently matches 9 of our scanner strategies — each hit links to the scanner.

Only genuine hits from verified scanners count; pure ranking metrics (P/E, P/S, and similar, which just sort the whole universe) don't count as a hit. Scanners marked in red are red-flag signals (risk/short scanners) — appearing there is not a seal of approval. View all scanners

Trading Day

Previous Close
17.20$
Open
17.20$
Day High
17.40$
Day Low
16.90$
Volume
2,998,965shares

Key levels of the most recently completed trading day — not a live quote.

52-Week Range

52-Week Low 52-Week High
14.90 $ 23.00 $
06/10/2026 02/20/2026

Current price 17.10 $ — 27% of the range above the low.

Lowest and highest closing price over the last 52 weeks. The marker shows where the current price sits within that range: close to the high speaks for strength, close to the low for weakness.

Basics

Market Cap
9.0$B
Shares Outstanding
415Mio.
Float
99.5%
Beta
1.1

Performance

Perf. 1M
-2.60%
Perf. 3M
-6.70%
Perf. 6M
0.60%
YTD Performance (%)
-2.70%
52-Week-High Distance
-31.8%
Perf. 1Y
8.15%
Perf. 3Y
-28.22%
Perf. 5Y
-52.78%
Perf. Since Inception
-43.74%

Technical Indicators

MA 38 Days
16.20$
MA 50 Days
16.30$
MA 200 Days
18.10$
RSI (14)
55.2
Volatility 30 Days
38.6%
Volatility 250 Days
46.9%

Calculated from the price history · as of 08/03/2026

Valuation

P/E
9.2
Forward P/E
9.5
PEG
P/B
2.0
P/S
0.5
EV/EBITDA
12.5
Price/FCF
0.6

Profitability

Gross Margin
69.1%
EBIT Margin
30.0%
Net Margin
28.8%
Return on Equity
22.9%
Return on Assets
1.4%

Balance Sheet & Safety

Equity Ratio
6.0%
Debt/Equity
4.0
Altman Z″
2.72
Piotroski
3 out of 9

Growth

Sales Growth Last Quarter
9.70%
EPS Growth Last Quarter
8.90%
Sales Growth (Year)
-8.21%
Forward Sales Growth
13.41%
Forward EPS Growth
12.70%

Dividend

Dividend Yield
1.17%
Dividend Per Share (TTM)
0.38$
Payout Ratio
5.1%
Years Without a Cut
0Years
Increase Streak
0Years

Quality & Screener

Stage
4
RS Rating
19
EPS Rating
57
Piotroski
3 out of 9
Fundamental Rating
C (54 out of 100)
Altman Z″
2.72

AI Rating

Uses AI

XP setzt künstliche Intelligenz im eigenen Betrieb ein — für personalisierte Kundenansprache aus dem eigenen Datenbestand und für maschinelles Erkennen von Auffälligkeiten in Kundendaten; ein KI-Produkt wird nicht verkauft und es gibt keinen ausgewiesenen KI-Umsatz.

View the full file — quotes, sources, reviewed filings
„we leverage big data analytical tools and artificial intelligence technology to help create an increasingly personalized experience that helps retain clients"

Wir nutzen Werkzeuge zur Auswertung großer Datenmengen und Technik der künstlichen Intelligenz, um ein zunehmend personalisiertes Erlebnis zu schaffen, das hilft, Kunden zu halten.

20-F · 2026-04-29 · View SEC filing
„conduct our big data analytics and artificial intelligence initiatives, such as our online customer behavior monitoring and our machine learning techniques to identify deviations in customer information"

Wir betreiben unsere Vorhaben zu Massendatenauswertung und künstlicher Intelligenz, etwa die Beobachtung des Online-Kundenverhaltens und unsere Verfahren des maschinellen Lernens, um Abweichungen in Kundendaten zu erkennen.

20-F · 2026-04-29 · View SEC filing

Filings Reviewed: 20-F 2026-04-29 · 20-F 2025-04-24 · 6-K 2026-05-29 · 6-K 2026-05-26 · 6-K 2026-05-18 · 6-K 2026-05-18

Rated on July 27, 2026 · How the Rating Is Built

Analysts & Price Target

Current Price 17.10 $
Price Target (average) 23.12 $

The price target sits 35.2% above the current price.

Consensus
Sell
Analyst Ratings
12
Distribution of Recommendations
Strong Buy 5
Buy 5
Hold 2
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0

Combined picture of the price targets and recommendations of every analyst covering the stock. Price targets are expectations for the next 12 months, not promises — and they often follow the price rather than predict it.

Estimates by Fiscal Year

Estimates by Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year EPS Estimate ($) EPS Range ($) Revenue Estimate ($M) Expected Growth Analysts
12/31/2026 10.74 10.37 – 11.20 20,033 9.5% 6
12/31/2027 12.05 11.45 – 13.05 22,446 12.2% 6

Average of the analyst estimates for the coming fiscal years. The range shows how far the most optimistic and the most cautious estimate sit apart — the wider it is, the less certain the expectation.

Next Reporting Date

17. Aug 2026 · after the close · Q2 2026
Expected Earnings per Share
0.51 $

Expected date of the next quarterly or annual figures. Dates do shift occasionally — only the invitation issued by the company is binding.

Revenue & Profit

Cash Flow

Balance Sheet

Margins

Per Share

Click the chart or tab into it, then use ← and → to step through the periods.

None of the selected stocks reports this metric. Pick another metric or switch between annual and quarterly.

These companies report in different currencies — switch on “Indexed” or pick a margin for a fair comparison.

The figures could not be loaded right now.

Sales Per Quarter ($M)
2024: Q4 · 4,243.9 $M Q4 2025: Q1 · 4,319.1 $M Q1 2025: Q2 · 4,381.8 $M Q2 2025: Q3 · 4,592.4 $M Q3 2025: Q4 · 5,062.6 $M Q4 2026: Q1 · 4,615.5 $M Q1

Source: fundamental data

Compare with other stocks →

Quarterly Figures

Quarterly Figures
Quarter EPS (Earnings Per Share) EPS YoY (%) Sales ($M) Sales YoY (%) Net Margin (%) OCF ($M) FCF ($M)
2024: Q4 2.18 18.00 4,244 3.60 27.80 3,820 3,793
2025: Q1 2.25 17.60 4,319 3.30 28.20 -2,634 -2,654
2025: Q2 2.38 9.50 4,382 -6.00 29.10 4,756 4,650
2025: Q3 2.42 13.50 4,592 5.50 28.10 12,307 12,146
2025: Q4 2.53 15.80 5,063 19.30 26.00 -2,385 -2,441
2026: Q1 2.45 8.50 4,616 6.90 27.80 746 694
What Do These Terms Mean?
EPS (Earnings Per Share):
Quarterly profit divided by the total share count — how much of the profit works out to a single share.
YoY (Year over Year):
Change versus the same quarter a year ago — this is how you compare without seasonal distortion (e.g. the holiday shopping season).
Sales:
All revenue for the quarter, before any costs are deducted — the top line of the income statement.
Net Margin:
What percentage of sales is left over as profit in the end. Negative means the company is posting a loss.
OCF (Operating Cash Flow):
The cash that actually flows into the till from the core business during the quarter — harder to dress up than book profit.
FCF (Free Cash Flow):
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures — the money that's genuinely free to use, say for paying down debt, buybacks, or dividends.

Annual Figures

Annual Figures
Fiscal Year Revenue ($M) EBIT ($M) Net Income ($M) EPS ($) Operating Cash Flow ($M) Equity ($M) Total Assets ($M)
2016 1,176 354 177 0.32 5 1,045 4,240
2017 1,997 685 429 0.78 262 1,144 7,136
2018 3,157 807 489 0.89 -457 2,085 17,724
2019 5,167 1,607 1,048 2.05 1,527 7,153 43,623
2020 8,596 2,591 2,093 3.74 1,511 10,895 96,029
2021 12,974 4,154 3,731 6.50 -4,020 14,417 139,340
2022 14,180 4,049 3,707 6.47 1,804 17,036 192,035
2023 14,817 4,545 3,836 7.05 8,127 19,449 249,041
2024 19,870 6,596 5,177 9.44 11,179 20,044 347,457
2025 18,238 5,914 5,068 9.53 12,045 23,547 396,528

Fiscal years from the audited annual reports, oldest first. EBIT is the operating profit before interest and taxes; total assets are everything the company owns.

Assessment: Opportunities & Risks

The hook does not hold

The displayed price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 0.6 comes from dividing a market capitalization in U.S. dollars ($8.29bn) by a cash flow in Brazilian reais (R$15,049m). Using the rate from the 20-F itself (R$5.502 per U.S. dollar, December 31, 2025), the ratio is about 3.0. Rank 10 in the U.S. selection is an artifact (measured July 27, 2026).

The metric measures client money

Even on a single-currency basis the denominator does not hold: in the 20-F for 2025 (Item 5.B) XP names securities balances, float balances and retirement plan balances as the key drivers of operating cash flow of R$12,045m. The figure was negative in two of four quarters in 2025.

Operating business

Revenue of R$18,399m (up 8 percent) and net income of R$5,169m (up 14 percent) in 2025, a net margin of 28.1 percent and earnings per share of R$9.80. Brazil's largest independent investment platform with R$1,491bn in client assets (December 31, 2025).

Fading momentum

Net inflow fell from R$108.8bn (2024) to R$94.3bn (2025) and the take rate from 1.29 to 1.25 percent. Client assets grew about 16 percent while revenue grew only 8 percent — that gap is the open question for the coming years.

Voice and balance sheet

Class B shares carry ten votes; directors and executive officers hold 71.09 percent of the voting power (20-F 2025, Item 7.A). The equity ratio is 5.9 percent (equity R$23,548m against total assets of R$396,528m) — normal for a broker and banking group, but no cushion for surprises.

Bottom Line

XP is a profitable, growing financial company with a strong position in Brazil — but the reason it sits near the top of our list does not survive recalculation. The displayed price-to-cash-flow ratio of 0.6 mixes U.S. dollars and Brazilian reais; in a single currency it is about 3.0. And even then the metric measures client money rather than distributable surplus. Buying XP means buying an ordinary company at an ordinary price — not the bargain the number promises. Not investment advice.

Worth Noting:
  • Hook: in-house stock scanner, price-to-free-cash-flow ranking, U.S. selection (545 hits), rank 10 at a displayed value of 0.6 — measured July 27, 2026, identically on both brands. The lists are recalculated daily.
  • All income and balance sheet figures are in Brazilian reais (reporting currency per 20-F 2025, Note 2), the market capitalization in U.S. dollars. The two are never mixed in this article; wherever a conversion is made, the rate of R$5.502 per U.S. dollar (Central Bank, December 31, 2025) is stated alongside it.
  • No Altman Z as a solvency verdict: the formula is built for industrial companies and says nothing meaningful about a broker and banking group. Our data set carries 2.72; the value is deliberately not used.
  • Risk of confusion: XP Inc. (Cayman Islands, Nasdaq: XP) is not its Brazilian subsidiary XP Investimentos S.A., nor the operating entity XP CCTVM, which is reported separately in the annual report.

About the Company

XP Inc. befasst sich mit der Bereitstellung von Finanzprodukten und -dienstleistungen in Brasilien.

HeadquartersGeorge Town, Cayman Islands
Address20, Genesis Close, KY1-1208 George Town, Cayman Islands
Phone55 (11) 3075-0429
Websitexpinc.com
IPO Date11. Dec 2019
ISINKYG982391099

Management

Management
Name Title Birth Year
Guilherme Dias Fernandes Benchimol Founder & Executive Chairman 1978
Thiago Maffra Interim CFO, CEO & Director 1985
Andre Parize Chief Investor Relations Officer
Fabrício Cunha de Almeida General Counsel 1982
Marco Goncalves Head of M&A
Gabriel Dos Santos Head of Recruitment & Selection
Jose de Menezes Berenguer Neto CEO of Banco XP S.A. & Director 1966
Antonio Guimarães Investor Relations Officer
Ygor Gomes Altero Equity Research Analyst

Executives per the latest required filings; titles kept in their original language. Source: fundamental data.

Chart

Interactive price chart (TradingView).

Data as of: July 31, 2026 · Source: fundamental data & SEC filings (annual and quarterly reports, 10-K/10-Q)

Note: pure fact-based analysis, not investment advice and not a solicitation to buy or sell. All figures without guarantee.

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